- The Braves are -250 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
- Watch the game on BSSE
The San Francisco Giants (+195) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-250) on Friday, August 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Giants vs Braves Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 63-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 62-58 ATS.
Giants vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -105 | O 9 -110 | +195 |
| Braves | -1.5 -115 | U 9 -110 | -250 |
Giants vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 81.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 24 away games (+20.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+15.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+11.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Braves vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +1400 | 0.5 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Braves vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Braves vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
Braves vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
| Spencer Strider | 8.5 +105 | 8.5 -140 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 74 games (+25.94 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 44 games (+16.89 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+5.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+1.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.74 Units / 13% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 62 games (+19.04 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 32 games at home (+18.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 71 of their last 120 games (+17.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 120 games (+16.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games at home (+12.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 57-63 against the Run Line (-10.35 Units / -6.75% ROI).
- 63-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -3.12% ROI
- 50-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.55 Units / -18.37% ROI
- 67-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.95 Units / 9.93% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 62-58 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 0.71% ROI).
- 78-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 3.85% ROI
- 64-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.8 Units / 5.18% ROI
- 52-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.25 Units / -13.97% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (115/203) against Alex Cobb this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 42% of the time (182/434) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (482/808) against Alex Cobb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (145/373) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (505/1,258) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 58% (109 SO in 187 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 38% (217 SO in 572 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 44% (269/611) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are 54-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Giants are 119-2 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Giants are 17-10 (.630) after a home loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Giants are 12-44 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are 19-19 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Braves are 42-30 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Braves are 147-31 (.826) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .678 (1,315 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .739.
The Giants are batting just .114 with two-strikes over the last 30 days (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Giants hitters are slugging just .173 with two-strikes over the last 30 days (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
Giants hitters are slugging just .374 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .535 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .890 (972 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Braves hitters are slugging .465 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Braves hitters are slugging .468 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 306 of 4,516 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 67 of 1,080 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D10
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Hamstring, D10
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Allen Pollock (Giants): Oblique, D10
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
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