- The Braves are -120 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Braves starting pitcher: Yonny Chirinos
- Watch the game on BSSE
The San Francisco Giants (+100) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-120) on Saturday, August 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Giants vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 63-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 63-58 ATS.
Giants vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -190 | O 9.5 -115 | +100 |
| Braves | -1.5 +155 | U 9.5 -105 | -120 |
Giants vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 53.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+21.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+13.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.95 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+12.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+12.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+11.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 47 games (+10.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Braves vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +1450 | 0.5 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
Braves vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Braves vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yonny Chirinos | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
| Logan Webb | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 75 games (+26.94 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.89 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 away games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.84 Units / 15% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 33 games at home (+19.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 72 of their last 121 games (+18.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 63 games (+18.04 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 75 of their last 121 games (+17.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 33 games at home (+13.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 57-64 against the Run Line (-11.35 Units / -7.35% ROI).
- 63-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -3.74% ROI
- 50-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.65 Units / -19.04% ROI
- 68-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.95 Units / 10.6% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 63-58 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 1.41% ROI).
- 79-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 4.28% ROI
- 64-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 4.31% ROI
- 53-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.25 Units / -13.1% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (151/240) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (280/456) against Logan Webb this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 28% of the time (181/643) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (340/725) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yonny Chirinos has a strikeout rate of just 29% (31 SO in 108 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Yonny Chirinos has a strikeout rate of just 12% (31 SO in 262 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Yonny Chirinos has allowed a slugging percentage of .644 (56 Total Bases / 87 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .354 — first Percentile.
Yonny Chirinos has a strikeout rate of just 33% (49 SO in 147 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — second Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are 31-26 (.544) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Giants are 12-45 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Giants are 17-10 (.630) after a home loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Giants are 113-8 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .908.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are 19-19 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Braves are 148-31 (.827) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Braves are 42-30 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 21-33 (.389) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .218.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Giants are batting just .094 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Giants are batting just .202 over the last 30 days (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Giants hitters are slugging just .183 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .891 (975 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Braves hitters are slugging .535 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .845 (4,644 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Braves hitters are slugging .313 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 311 of 4,556 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 157 of 2,527 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D10
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Hamstring, D10
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Allen Pollock (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D10
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
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