- The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Jakob Junis
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants (+180) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Sunday, August 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Giants vs Braves Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 63-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 63-59 ATS.
Giants vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -105 | O 8.5 -105 | +180 |
| Braves | -1.5 -115 | U 8.5 -115 | -225 |
Giants vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 83.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+21.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+19.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 30 games (+17.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+15.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.95 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+13.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 48 games (+11.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
Braves vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Johan Camargo | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Braves vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Johan Camargo | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Braves vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Johan Camargo | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Braves vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Junis | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Max Fried | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 76 games (+25.84 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 46 games (+16.74 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 52 away games (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 64 games (+19.04 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 72 of their last 122 games (+18.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 34 games at home (+18.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 76 of their last 122 games (+18.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 34 games at home (+14.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 58-64 against the Run Line (-10.35 Units / -6.62% ROI).
- 63-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -4.35% ROI
- 51-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.65 Units / -18.16% ROI
- 68-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.75 Units / 9.6% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 63-59 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 0.7% ROI).
- 80-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 4.73% ROI
- 65-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.7 Units / 5.02% ROI
- 53-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.45 Units / -13.88% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jakob Junis has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.217 (28 Total Bases / 23 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .568 — first Percentile.
Jakob Junis has allowed a slugging percentage of .807 (92 Total Bases / 114 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .536 — first Percentile.
Jakob Junis has 5 three-pitch strikeouts over the last 14 days (4 games) — most in NL over the last two weeks — 100th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has allowed an OPS of 1.912 (37 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.052 — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (144 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Max Fried has allowed an OBP of just .220 (332 PA’s) versus the top of the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .403 (179 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: .726 — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried had a first-pitch strike rate of just 40% (10/25) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are 31-26 (.544) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Giants are 5-53 (.086) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Giants are 40-6 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Giants are 18-10 (.643) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are 20-19 (.513) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Braves are 42-30 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 22-33 (.400) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Braves are 18-10 (.643) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters are slugging just .178 with two-strikes over the last 30 days (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
Giants hitters are slugging just .401 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
The Giants are batting just .153 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .891 (975 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Braves hitters are slugging .535 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .845 (4,678 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Braves hitters are slugging .500 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 157 of 2,535 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D10
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Hamstring, D10
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Harris II (Braves): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Allen Pollock (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D10
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Forearm, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Side, Day-to-Day
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