Giants vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 2

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Atlanta Braves' Austin Riley in action during Game 4 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies, Thursday, Oct. 12, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Chris Szagola)
(AP Photo/Chris Szagola)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 02, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Braves are -190 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Giants / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | NSBA

The San Francisco Giants (+160) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-190) on Tuesday, July 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Giants are 41-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 38-44 ATS.

Giants vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 0-0, 6.24 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 6-2, 1.71 ERA

Giants vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -125O 8.5 -110+160
Braves -1.5 +105U 8.5 -110-190

Giants vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+18.20 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+15.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 53 games (+4.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+3.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 68 games (+26.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+10.39 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games at home (+1.05 Units / 10% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 41-44 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -6% ROI).

  • 41-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -7.82% ROI
  • 48-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.8 Units / 10.55% ROI
  • 35-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.15 Units / -19.29% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 38-44 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -6.55% ROI).

  • 46-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -8.19% ROI
  • 29-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.3 Units / -28.25% ROI
  • 50-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.15 Units / 19.96% ROI

Braves vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +275 0.5 -350
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Braves vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ozzie Albies (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Luis Matos (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175

Braves vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Ozzie Albies (ATL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Braves vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hayden Birdsong (SF) 4.5 +100 4.5 -135
Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) 5.5 +105 5.5 -140

Hayden Birdsong had a strike rate of just 57% (55/97) — 9th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong has walked 3 of 22 batters (14%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 6th highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 10th Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong has allowed an OBP of .409 (22 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .304 — fifth Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 38% of Hayden Birdsong’s pitches (37/97) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 48% — fifth Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .069 (4-for-58) against Reynaldo Lopez with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 45 of 302 left-handed batters (15%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 21 of 443 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has located his sliders away 71% of the time (484/677) since the 2022 season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 54% — 100th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Giants are 52-8 (.867) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Giants are 19-106 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Giants are just 24-44 (.353) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The Giants are 38-20 (.655) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.

The Braves are 34-65 (.343) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Braves are 17-78 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Braves are 29-47 (.382) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Giants hitters have 1,125 strikeouts in 4,666 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Giants are batting .270 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Giants are batting just .247 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Giants hitters are slugging .485 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .352.

Braves hitters are slugging .485 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Braves are batting .276 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Braves hitters have an OBP of .379 (1,130 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .822 (2,338 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.4 MPH this season (1,905 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH (1,905 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Braves vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
  • Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.