- The Giants are +105 favorites vs the Braves
- Giants vs Braves Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Giants / Braves TV Channel: NSBA | FDSO | FDSE
The San Francisco Giants (+105) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-125) on Monday, July 21, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Giants are 52-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 40-57 ATS.
Giants vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 4-3, 4.12 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 3-6, 5.70 ERA
Giants vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +160 | O 9.5 -105 | +105 |
| Braves | +1.5 -210 | U 9.5 -115 | -125 |
Giants vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+16.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.90 Units / 199% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 39% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 81 games (+16.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+12.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 47 of their last 82 games (+9.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.45 Units / 15% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+12.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+2.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.10 Units / 33% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 42-58 against the Run Line (-17 Units / -13.72% ROI).
- 52-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -6.64% ROI
- 45-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -9.8% ROI
- 51-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 0.95% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 40-57 against the Run Line (-17.12 Units / -15.09% ROI).
- 43-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -36.78 Units / -24.39% ROI
- 41-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.3 Units / -14.98% ROI
- 52-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.35 Units / 6.87% ROI
Braves vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Braves vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Braves vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder (ATL) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Hayden Birdsong (SF) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hayden Birdsong has walked 16% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Hayden Birdsong walked 14% of batters in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Hayden Birdsong has a strike rate of just 57% (810/1,412) vs left-handed batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Hayden Birdsong has a strike rate of just 58% (342/594) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Elder has thrown his fastball for a strike just 58% (396/682) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Bryce Elder has thrown his fastball in the zone just 46% (313/682) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 58% — 0 Percentile.
Bryce Elder has allowed an OPS of 1.012 (134 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .717 — first Percentile.
Bryce Elder has spotted his fastball inside in the zone just 38% (91/242) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 0 Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are 8-40 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Giants are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Giants are 10-39 (.204) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Giants are 4-43 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are just 32-9 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Braves are just 14-21 (.400) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Giants (Ranks seventh runs allowed) today.
The Braves are just 11-49 (.183) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Braves are just 11-58 (.159) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .277 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Giants hitters have struck out in 39% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Giants are batting just .211 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Giants hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Braves batted .288 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Braves hitters slugged .751 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Giants pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% over the past seven days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 42% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% against Braves pitchers this month (15 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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