- The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Braves TV Channel: NSBA | FDSO | FDSE | MLBN
The San Francisco Giants (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-165) on Wednesday, July 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Giants are 53-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 41-58 ATS.
Giants vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 0-8, 4.98 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider 4-7, 3.65 ERA
Giants vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -115 | +135 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -165 |
Giants vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Giants vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Matos has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+18.10 Units / 52% ROI)
- Luis Matos has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Luis Matos has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+11.50 Units / 128% ROI)
- Luis Matos has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+11.90 Units / 132% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+14.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 47 of their last 84 games (+6.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 73 games (+11.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+7.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 43-59 against the Run Line (-17.45 Units / -13.77% ROI).
- 53-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -6.55% ROI
- 46-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -8.71% ROI
- 51-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.09% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 41-58 against the Run Line (-17.07 Units / -14.73% ROI).
- 44-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -36.98 Units / -24.12% ROI
- 42-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.3 Units / -13.78% ROI
- 52-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.2 Units / 5.68% ROI
Braves vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Braves vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jurickson Profar (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Braves vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Braves vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider (ATL) | 7.5 -145 | 7.5 +110 |
| Justin Verlander (SF) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -150 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of .673 (35 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .383 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (47/135) versus Justin Verlander on non-fastballs in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .426 (23-for-54) against Justin Verlander this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 0 Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a SLG of just .312 versus the heart of the order (15th best)– 87th Percentile but .548 versus non 3-4-5 batters this season (second worst among non-qualified SPs)– first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (178/414) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 169 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 54% (126/234) against Spencer Strider’s breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (38/97) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider had a strike rate of just 55% (53/96) in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are 8-41 (.163) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Giants are 10-40 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .122.
The Giants are 4-44 (.083) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Giants are 14-187 (.070) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are just 11-50 (.180) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Braves are just 44-49 (.473) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Braves are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are just 11-59 (.157) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .275 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Giants hitters are slugging just .434 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .581.
The Giants are batting just .212 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .620 (977 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have struck out in 42% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 42% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 45% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Giants vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
