Giants vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 20, 2022, 11:20 AM
  • The Braves (38-29) are -150 favorites vs the Giants (37-28)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb (6-2), 3.43 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried (7-2), 2.90 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSO

The San Francisco Giants (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-150) on Monday, June 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Giants vs Braves Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 37-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 36-31 ATS.

Giants vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -165O 8 -110+125
Braves -1.5 +140U 8 -110-150

Giants vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s matchup with 59.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Crawford has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.75 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+6.30 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Austin Wynns has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.75 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 53 games (+20.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 55 games (+17.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 53 games (+14.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 52 games (+11.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 38 of his last 55 games (+11.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Braves vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Duvall 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
    Austin Riley 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
    Dansby Swanson 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
    Matt Olson 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

    Braves vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Duvall 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
    Austin Riley 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
    Dansby Swanson 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
    Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
    Matt Olson 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

    Braves vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Duvall 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Austin Riley 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
    Dansby Swanson 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
    Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
    Matt Olson 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

    Braves vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Max Fried 5.5 -135 5.5 -105
    Logan Webb 5.5 -135 5.5 -105
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 57 games (+9.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 games (+12.97 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+11.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 59 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 32-33 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -3.61% ROI).

    • 37-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -2.73% ROI
    • 31-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -2.93% ROI
    • 30-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -5.76% ROI

    Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 36-31 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 2.95% ROI).

    • 38-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -1.43% ROI
    • 36-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 7.59% ROI
    • 28-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.6 Units / -15.72% ROI

    Opponents are hitting .538 (21-for-39) against Logan Webb when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .327 — first Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (61/100) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .484 (15-for-31) against Logan Webb on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .322 — second Percentile.

    Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (552/851) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

    Max Fried: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (114 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

    33 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (124/234) against Max Fried this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.

    Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.6 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 (135 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 80.1

    Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

    The Giants are 30-1 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .926.

    The Giants are 18-14 (.562) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

    The Giants are 18-91 (.165) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .083.

    The Giants are 70-18 (.795) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

    Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

    The Braves are 32-9 (.780) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    The Braves are 27-4 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

    The Braves are 18-15 (.545) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

    The Braves are 22-6 (.786) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

    Giants hitters have drawn 190 walks in 1,819 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

    Giants hitters are slugging .432 against RHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .403.

    Giants hitters have an OPS of .760 (6,325 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

    Braves hitters have 207 extra-base hits out of 473 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Braves hitters are slugging .486 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.

    Braves hitters have an OPS of .824 (701 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

    Braves hitters are slugging .554 over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Giants pitchers have walked 127 of 2,042 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Braves pitchers have walked 22 of 417 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

    Braves pitchers have walked 55 of 599 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Braves vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Steven Duggar (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.