Giants vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 21, 2022, 12:00 PM
  • The Braves (39-29) are -185 favorites vs the Giants (37-29)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani (0-1), 6.07 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider (3-2), 2.45 ERA
  • Watch the game on TBS

The San Francisco Giants (+150) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-185) on Tuesday, June 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Giants vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 37-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 36-32 ATS.

Giants vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -130O 9.5 -120+150
Braves -1.5 +105U 9.5 +100-185

Giants vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 57.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.75 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.25 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+5.30 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Austin Wynns has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.75 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 54 games (+21.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 56 games (+15.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 54 games (+15.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 53 games (+12.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 39 of his last 56 games (+12.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Braves vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Duvall 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
    Austin Riley 0.5 +325 0.5 -500
    Dansby Swanson 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
    Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +325 0.5 -500
    Matt Olson 0.5 +300 0.5 -500

    Braves vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Duvall 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Austin Riley 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
    Dansby Swanson 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
    Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
    Matt Olson 0.5 -275 0.5 +190

    Braves vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Duvall 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Austin Riley 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
    Dansby Swanson 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
    Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
    Matt Olson 0.5 +110 0.5 -160

    Braves vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Spencer Strider 6.5 -160 6.5 +115
    Anthony DeSclafani 3.5 -145 3.5 +100
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+8.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 42 games (+13.97 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games (+12.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 53 games (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 33-33 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -2.27% ROI).

    • 37-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -3.7% ROI
    • 31-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -4.46% ROI
    • 31-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -4.31% ROI

    Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 36-32 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 1.77% ROI).

    • 39-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -0.47% ROI
    • 36-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.45 Units / 5.94% ROI
    • 29-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.6 Units / -14.16% ROI

    23 of Anthony DeSclafani’s 95 breaking pitch strikeouts (24%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 92nd Percentile.

    Anthony DeSclafani has allowed an OBP of just .267 (378 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 88th Percentile.

    Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .299 (41/137) against Anthony DeSclafani when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .205 — 0 Percentile.

    Anthony DeSclafani has walked 7 of 143 batters (5%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.

    Spencer Strider: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Spencer Strider has struck out 42% (33/78) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

    Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 39% (68 SO in 176 PAs) this season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

    Spencer Strider has a strike rate of 74% (189/254) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.

    Spencer Strider has walked 13 of 78 right-handed batters (17%) this season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — sixth Percentile.

    Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

    The Giants are 30-1 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .927.

    The Giants are 30-1 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

    The Giants are 13-2 (.867) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .675.

    The Giants are 26-4 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

    Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

    The Braves are 27-4 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

    The Braves are 21-14 (.600) at home this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

    The Braves are 33-9 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    The Braves are 14-3 (.824) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .675.

    The Giants are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

    The Giants have a winning percentage of 64% at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

    Giants hitters have an OPS of .747 (4,443 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

    Braves hitters have 207 extra-base hits out of 473 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Braves hitters are slugging .486 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.

    Braves hitters are slugging .711 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .563.

    Braves hitters have an OPS of .824 (701 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Giants pitchers have walked 128 of 2,051 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Braves pitchers have walked 24 of 452 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

    Braves vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Steven Duggar (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.