Giants vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 21, 2022, 10:47 AM
  • The Braves (39-29) are -185 favorites vs the Giants (37-29)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani (0-1), 6.07 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider (3-2), 2.45 ERA
  • Watch the game on TBS

The San Francisco Giants (+150) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-185) on Tuesday, June 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Giants vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 37-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 36-32 ATS.

Giants vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -130O 9.5 -120+150
Braves -1.5 +105U 9.5 +100-185

Giants vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 57.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.75 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.25 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+5.30 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Austin Wynns has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.75 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 54 games (+21.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 56 games (+15.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 54 games (+15.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 53 games (+12.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 39 of his last 56 games (+12.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Braves vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Duvall 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
    Austin Riley 0.5 +325 0.5 -500
    Dansby Swanson 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
    Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +325 0.5 -500
    Matt Olson 0.5 +300 0.5 -500

    Braves vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Duvall 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Austin Riley 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
    Dansby Swanson 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
    Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
    Matt Olson 0.5 -275 0.5 +190

    Braves vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Duvall 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Austin Riley 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
    Dansby Swanson 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
    Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
    Matt Olson 0.5 +110 0.5 -160

    Braves vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Spencer Strider 6.5 -160 6.5 +115
    Anthony DeSclafani 3.5 -145 3.5 +100
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+8.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 42 games (+13.97 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games (+12.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 53 games (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 33-33 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -2.27% ROI).

    • 37-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -3.7% ROI
    • 31-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -4.46% ROI
    • 31-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -4.31% ROI

    Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 36-32 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 1.77% ROI).

    • 39-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -0.47% ROI
    • 36-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.45 Units / 5.94% ROI
    • 29-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.6 Units / -14.16% ROI

    23 of Anthony DeSclafani’s 95 breaking pitch strikeouts (24%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 92nd Percentile.

    Anthony DeSclafani has allowed an OBP of just .267 (378 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 88th Percentile.

    Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .299 (41/137) against Anthony DeSclafani when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .205 — 0 Percentile.

    Anthony DeSclafani has walked 7 of 143 batters (5%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.

    Spencer Strider: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Spencer Strider has struck out 42% (33/78) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

    Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 39% (68 SO in 176 PAs) this season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

    Spencer Strider has a strike rate of 74% (189/254) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.

    Spencer Strider has walked 13 of 78 right-handed batters (17%) this season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — sixth Percentile.

    Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

    The Giants are 30-1 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .927.

    The Giants are 30-1 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

    The Giants are 13-2 (.867) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .675.

    The Giants are 26-4 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

    Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

    The Braves are 27-4 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

    The Braves are 21-14 (.600) at home this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

    The Braves are 33-9 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    The Braves are 14-3 (.824) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .675.

    The Giants are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

    The Giants have a winning percentage of 64% at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

    Giants hitters have an OPS of .747 (4,443 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

    Braves hitters have 207 extra-base hits out of 473 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Braves hitters are slugging .486 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.

    Braves hitters are slugging .711 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .563.

    Braves hitters have an OPS of .824 (701 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Giants pitchers have walked 128 of 2,051 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Braves pitchers have walked 24 of 452 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

    Braves vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Steven Duggar (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

  • Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


    Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

    At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

    About the Author

    BetMGM Betting

    Read More @BETMGM

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.