- The Brewers are -135 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
- Watch the game on BSWI
The San Francisco Giants (+115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on Friday, May 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Giants vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 25-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 24-26 ATS.
Giants vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -115 | +115 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -105 | -135 |
Giants vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 65.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.45 Units / 66% ROI)
- Blake Sabol has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+8.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.85 Units / 76% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+16.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+10.30 Units / 94% ROI)
Brewers vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Brewers vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Brewers vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Brewers vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Wood | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Freddy Peralta | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games (+9.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+7.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 52% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+5.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 25-25 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -3.09% ROI).
- 25-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -7.19% ROI
- 22-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -12.01% ROI
- 26-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 3.93% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 24-26 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -4.89% ROI).
- 27-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 3.72% ROI
- 22-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -15.11% ROI
- 27-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 4.96% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (187/507) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (310/905) when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (604/1,761) in non-two strike counts since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 24 of Alex Wood’s 203 fastballs in off the plate (12%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .213 (10 Total Bases / 47 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 48% (40/84) against Freddy Peralta on sliders this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has walked 8 of 52 batters (15%) — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .169 (44 Total Bases / 261 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .265 — 98th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are just 15-7 (.682) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Giants are 22-20 (.524) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Giants are 88-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Giants were 65-2 (.970) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are 23-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Brewers are 21-13 (.618) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 11-46 (.193) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Brewers are 20-1 (.952) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .861.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 640 strikeouts in 2,520 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .663 (588 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Giants hitters are slugging .630 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .565.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (813 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Brewers hitters have 586 strikeouts in 2,184 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have 146 strikeouts in 473 PA’s (31%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Brewers are batting just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have not walked any of the 61 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 29 of 440 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Louis Voit (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Brewers): Spine, D15
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Logan Webb (Giants): Back, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
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