- The Giants are -105 favorites vs the Brewers
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
- Watch the game on BSWI
The San Francisco Giants (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Saturday, May 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Giants vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 26-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 24-27 ATS.
Giants vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -120 | -105 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 +100 | -115 |
Giants vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 52.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 70% ROI)
- Blake Sabol has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 away games (+9.55 Units / 92% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
Brewers vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Brewers vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Brewers vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Brewers vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -160 |
| Logan Webb | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+10.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+6.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+5.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games at home (+1.15 Units / 3% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 26-25 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -1.55% ROI).
- 26-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -5.09% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -10.03% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.7% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 24-27 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -6.42% ROI).
- 27-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 1.39% ROI
- 23-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -13.07% ROI
- 27-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 2.7% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 74% (14/19) against Logan Webb — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (22/33) against Logan Webb — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (109/177) against Logan Webb this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (232/373) against Logan Webb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 67% of the time (211/315) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 62% of the time (49/79) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (662/1,037) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 64% of the time (200/315) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are 23-20 (.535) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Giants are just 16-7 (.696) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Giants are 89-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Giants were 8-65 (.110) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are just 2-12 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Brewers are 19-2 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Brewers are 23-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Brewers are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 645 strikeouts in 2,538 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Giants hitter’ K:BB ratio is 4.5 against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.7.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .301 (606 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .336 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Brewers hitters have 151 strikeouts in 497 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .615 (497 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Brewers are batting just .219 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 3 of 113 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 30 of 449 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Louis Voit (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Willy Adames (Brewers): Head, D7
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Brewers): Spine, D15
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
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