- The Giants are -125 favorites vs the Brewers
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea
- Watch the game on BSWI
The San Francisco Giants (-125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+105) on Sunday, May 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Giants vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 27-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 24-28 ATS.
Giants vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +135 | O 8 +100 | -125 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -120 | +105 |
Giants vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 63.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Blake Sabol has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+10.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- Blake Sabol has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+9.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.50 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+13.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+13.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+11.30 Units / 94% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Brewers vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Brewers vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Brewers vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Brewers vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Colin Rea | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 60% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+7.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+6.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.15 Units / 5% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 27-25 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI).
- 27-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -3.44% ROI
- 23-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -11.6% ROI
- 27-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 3.42% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 24-28 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -7.89% ROI).
- 27-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.38% ROI
- 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -14.58% ROI
- 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 4.4% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (42/62) against Alex Cobb in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (54/86) against Alex Cobb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has struck out just 13% (15/117) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .254 (29-for-114) against Alex Cobb with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .168 — fourth Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (16/106) against Colin Rea this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Colin Rea has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (61/114) of opposing batters this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (6/52) against Colin Rea on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (36/62) against Colin Rea this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 95th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are 23-20 (.535) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Giants are 90-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Giants were just 10-14 (.417) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants were 25-34 (.424) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are 23-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Brewers are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Brewers are just 11-47 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Brewers are 21-13 (.618) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have drawn 37 walks in 606 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants hitters have 645 strikeouts in 2,538 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters are slugging .636 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .566.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .219 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters have 151 strikeouts in 497 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .336 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .280 (497 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 30 of 458 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 3 of 113 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Louis Voit (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Willy Adames (Brewers): Head, D7
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Brewers): Spine, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Casey Schmitt (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
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