Giants vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 8

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Brewers (71-65) are -200 favorites vs the Giants (65-70)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Scott Alexander (0-0), 1.68 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes (9-6), 3.01 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The San Francisco Giants (+165) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-200) on Thursday, September 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Giants vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 64-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 54-79 ATS.

Giants vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -125O 8 -115+165
Brewers -1.5 +105U 8 -105-200

Giants vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 58.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home

Brewers vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Yelich 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Luis Urias 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Omar Narvaez 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Rowdy Tellez 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Brewers vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Yelich 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Luis Urias 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Omar Narvaez 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Rowdy Tellez 0.5 -190 0.5 +130

Brewers vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Yelich 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Luis Urias 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Omar Narvaez 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Rowdy Tellez 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Brewers vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Burnes 7.5 +100 7.5 -140
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 67 of their last 127 games (+13.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.58 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games at home (+5.27 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 60-71 against the Run Line (-18.95 Units / -11.61% ROI).

  • 64-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -24 Units / -12.37% ROI
  • 65-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 0.9% ROI
  • 58-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.25 Units / -9.69% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 54-79 against the Run Line (-32.25 Units / -20.09% ROI).

  • 69-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.65 Units / -11.62% ROI
  • 65-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -1.7% ROI
  • 62-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -5.73% ROI

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 40% (99 SO in 248 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 38% (50 SO in 132 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 32% (201 SO in 634 PAs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (784/1,761) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (79/180) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 62% of the time (812/1,318) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

89 of Corbin Burnes’ 200 strikeouts (45%) have come on cutters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (431/660) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Giants are 22-124 (.151) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Giants are 52-4 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Giants are just 7-10 (.412) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Brewers are just 8-29 (.216) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Brewers are just 48-10 (.828) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Brewers are 8-48 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Brewers are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are batting just .215 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Giants hitters have a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Giants hitters are slugging .818 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .581.

The Giants are batting just .138 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.

The Brewers are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Brewers are batting just .215 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Brewers hitters have chased 11% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 786 of 11,072 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kolten Wong (Brewers): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Eric Lauer (Brewers): Elbow, Day-to-Day
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
  • Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
  • Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Austin Slater (Giants): Hand, D10
  • Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.