- The Brewers (71-65) are -200 favorites vs the Giants (65-70)
- Giants starting pitcher: – (-), – ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta (4-3), 3.55 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants (+165) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-200) on Thursday, September 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Giants vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 64-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 54-79 ATS.
Giants vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -125 | O 8 -115 | +165 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +105 | U 8 -105 | -200 |
Giants vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 58.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- player high – away
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- player high – home
Brewers vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Omar Narvaez | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Brewers vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Omar Narvaez | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Brewers vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Omar Narvaez | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 67 of their last 127 games (+13.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.58 Units / 41% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games at home (+5.27 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 60-71 against the Run Line (-18.95 Units / -11.61% ROI).
- 64-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -24 Units / -12.37% ROI
- 65-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 0.9% ROI
- 58-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.25 Units / -9.69% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 54-79 against the Run Line (-32.25 Units / -20.09% ROI).
- 69-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.65 Units / -11.62% ROI
- 65-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -1.7% ROI
- 62-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -5.73% ROI
–: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 40% (99 SO in 248 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 38% (50 SO in 132 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 32% (201 SO in 634 PAs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (784/1,761) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (79/180) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 62% of the time (812/1,318) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
89 of Corbin Burnes’ 200 strikeouts (45%) have come on cutters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (431/660) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are 22-124 (.151) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are 52-4 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Giants are just 7-10 (.412) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are just 8-29 (.216) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Brewers are just 48-10 (.828) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Brewers are 8-48 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Brewers are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .215 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Giants hitters have a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Giants hitters are slugging .818 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .581.
The Giants are batting just .138 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Brewers are batting just .215 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Brewers hitters have chased 11% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 786 of 11,072 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kolten Wong (Brewers): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hand, D10
- Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
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