- The Giants (65-73) are -120 favorites vs the Cubs (58-80)
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb (12-8), 2.89 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman (3-6), 3.72 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The San Francisco Giants (-120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+100) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Giants vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 64-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 67-68 ATS.
Giants vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +140 | O 7.5 -110 | -120 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 -110 | +100 |
Giants vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 33 away games (+15.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 33 away games (+14.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+19.05 Units / 81% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Franmil Reyes has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 46 games (+11.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Cubs vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| David Bote | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cubs vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| David Bote | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Cubs vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| David Bote | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
| Logan Webb | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 61-72 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -11.59% ROI).
- 64-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -26 Units / -13.26% ROI
- 65-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.61% ROI
- 60-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -8.21% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 67-68 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -6.69% ROI).
- 56-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -20 Units / -13.01% ROI
- 57-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -10.24% ROI
- 66-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 2.29% ROI
Logan Webb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (293/504) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (893/1,366) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 74% of the time (462/625) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has located his pitches away 59% of the time (854/1,441) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 94th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (800/2,176) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has not allowed a home run in any of the last 31.0 innings he’s appeared — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 59.1.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (24/67) against Marcus Stroman when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to August 15th — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 10.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Giants are 52-4 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Giants are just 7-10 (.412) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are just 21-64 (.247) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cubs are just 4-59 (.063) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Cubs are just 28-40 (.412) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Cubs are just 45-6 (.882) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Cubs are just 4-63 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .210 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters are slugging just .367 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Giants hitters are slugging just .374 against RHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Giants hitters have drawn 328 walks in 3,390 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have 743 strikeouts in 2,993 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .158 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .365 (83 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 50 double plays in 359 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 796 of 11,167 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 19% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Nelson Velázquez (Cubs): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
- Willson Contreras (Cubs): Foot, D10
- Justin Steele (Cubs): Undisclosed, D15
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Robert Wynns (Giants): Head, Day-to-Day
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hand, D10
- Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
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