Giants vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Giants (65-73) are -120 favorites vs the Cubs (58-80)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb (12-8), 2.89 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman (3-6), 3.72 ERA
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The San Francisco Giants (-120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+100) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Giants vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 64-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 67-68 ATS.

Giants vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +140O 7.5 -110-120
Cubs +1.5 -165U 7.5 -110+100

Giants vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 33 away games (+15.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 33 away games (+14.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.45 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 17% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+19.05 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Franmil Reyes has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 46 games (+11.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Cubs vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
David Bote 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Ian Happ 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Cubs vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
David Bote 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Ian Happ 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Nico Hoerner 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Cubs vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
David Bote 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Ian Happ 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Cubs vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcus Stroman 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
Logan Webb 4.5 -140 4.5 -105
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 61-72 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -11.59% ROI).

  • 64-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -26 Units / -13.26% ROI
  • 65-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.61% ROI
  • 60-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -8.21% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 67-68 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -6.69% ROI).

  • 56-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -20 Units / -13.01% ROI
  • 57-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -10.24% ROI
  • 66-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 2.29% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (293/504) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (893/1,366) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 74% of the time (462/625) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has located his pitches away 59% of the time (854/1,441) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 94th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marcus Stroman has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (800/2,176) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has not allowed a home run in any of the last 31.0 innings he’s appeared — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 59.1.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (24/67) against Marcus Stroman when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to August 15th — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 10.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Giants are 52-4 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Giants are just 7-10 (.412) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are just 21-64 (.247) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Cubs are just 4-59 (.063) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.

The Cubs are just 28-40 (.412) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Cubs are just 45-6 (.882) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Cubs are just 4-63 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Giants are batting just .210 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Giants hitters are slugging just .367 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Giants hitters are slugging just .374 against RHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Giants hitters have drawn 328 walks in 3,390 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have 743 strikeouts in 2,993 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .158 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .365 (83 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 50 double plays in 359 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 796 of 11,167 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 19% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cubs vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Nelson Velázquez (Cubs): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Willson Contreras (Cubs): Foot, D10
  • Justin Steele (Cubs): Undisclosed, D15
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60
  • Robert Wynns (Giants): Head, Day-to-Day
  • Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
  • Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Austin Slater (Giants): Hand, D10
  • Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.