- The Cubs are -130 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants (+110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-130) on Monday, September 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Giants vs Cubs Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 69-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 70-67 ATS.
Giants vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -115 | +110 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -105 | -130 |
Giants vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 61.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 39 games (+21.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+16.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+15.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+14.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.80 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+21.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+16.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 49 games (+15.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+15.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+14.35 Units / 23% ROI)
Cubs vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Cubs vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Cubs vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Cubs vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Justin Steele | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 56 of their last 90 games (+18.39 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games (+15.03 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 60 away games (+4.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 33 games (+2.26 Units / 6% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 41 games (+15.59 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games at home (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.89 Units / 28% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 65-71 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -7.03% ROI).
- 69-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -4.74% ROI
- 57-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.7 Units / -18.28% ROI
- 76-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.3 Units / 9.68% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 70-67 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -0.58% ROI).
- 73-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 2.32% ROI
- 70-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 1.43% ROI
- 61-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.55 Units / -10.45% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (315/514) against Logan Webb this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (107/180) against Logan Webb in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (1,076/2,679) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (696/1,874) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (282/596) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (703/1,498) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (703/1,498) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (282/596) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Giants are 124-3 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Giants are 19-15 (.559) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .436.
The Giants are just 14-23 (.378) after a road loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Giants are 39-28 (.582) after a road win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cubs are just 3-127 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Cubs are 39-7 (.848) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Cubs were just 19-11 (.633) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Cubs are just 29-32 (.475) after a loss as favorites since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .583.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .239 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .471 (2,793 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Giants are batting just .152 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Giants hitters are slugging just .243 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
25% of Cubs hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Cubs are batting .284 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 347 of 5,069 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (3,401 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Cubs pitchers have walked 82 of 1,207 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Cubs vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Fulmer (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Allen Pollock (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, D10
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