- The Cubs are -135 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Ryan Walker
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
- Watch the game on TBS
The San Francisco Giants (+110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-135) on Tuesday, September 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Giants vs Cubs Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 69-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 71-67 ATS.
Giants vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -165 | O 10.5 -110 | +110 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +140 | U 10.5 -110 | -135 |
Giants vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 63.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 40 games (+20.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+16.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+14.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.45 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+20.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+16.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+15.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 30 games (+14.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+14.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Cubs vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cubs vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cubs vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hendricks | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Ryan Walker | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 +100 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 57 of their last 91 games (+19.53 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 61 games (+16.13 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 34 games (+1.26 Units / 3% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games (+14.59 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+8.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+7.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.02 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 65-72 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -7.9% ROI).
- 69-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -5.28% ROI
- 57-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.85 Units / -18.89% ROI
- 77-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.3 Units / 10.28% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 71-67 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 0.29% ROI).
- 74-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 2.9% ROI
- 70-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 0.66% ROI
- 62-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.55 Units / -9.71% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (23/52) against Ryan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 86.7 MPH on fastballs in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Ryan Walker has allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (4 Total Bases / 24 ABs) on low fastballs this season — tied for 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .404 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (52/164) against Ryan Walker on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has located his pitches away 71% of the time (647/908) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 18% (30/162) against Kyle Hendricks on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has located his pitches away 68% of the time (317/465) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 87.2 MPH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Giants are 59-1 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Giants are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 31-29 (.517) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Giants are just 22-39 (.361) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cubs are just 29-32 (.475) after a loss as favorites since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .583.
The Cubs are just 32-40 (.444) after a home loss since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Cubs are 39-7 (.848) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Cubs are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .373 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Giants hitters have 876 strikeouts in 3,469 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .227 (2,831 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .468 (2,831 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .265 (2,908 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .516 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .332 (3,789 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Cubs pitchers with the shift this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .239 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Fulmer (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, D10
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