- The Cubs are + favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jordan Wicks
- Watch the game on MARQ
The San Francisco Giants (+) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+) on Wednesday, September 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Giants vs Cubs Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 69-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 72-67 ATS.
Giants vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | + + | O + | + |
| Cubs | + + | U + | + |
Giants vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 40 games (+20.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+16.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 away games (+13.05 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+19.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+15.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+15.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+15.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+14.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Cubs vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Cubs vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 57 of their last 92 games (+18.33 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+15.13 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 62 away games (+4.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 35 games (+0.26 Units / 1% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games (+15.59 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+9.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.21 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+8.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+6.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 65-73 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -8.75% ROI).
- 69-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -5.82% ROI
- 58-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.85 Units / -18.1% ROI
- 77-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.25 Units / 9.51% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 72-67 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 1.14% ROI).
- 75-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 3.47% ROI
- 71-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 1.31% ROI
- 62-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.6 Units / -10.34% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 43 of Alex Wood’s 299 fastballs in off the plate (14%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (46/249) against Alex Wood this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 30% of the time (343/1,126) when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (93/354) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Scherzer allowed an OBP of just .230 (204 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 99th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a groundball rate of just 16% (10/61) against Max Scherzer when he was behind in the count in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents batted just .179 (10-for-56) against Max Scherzer on low fastballs in 2022 — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .277 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 22% (36/165) against Max Scherzer’s fastball in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Giants are 19-15 (.559) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .435.
The Giants are 31-29 (.517) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Giants are just 22-40 (.355) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Giants are just 30-53 (.361) after a road loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .454.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cubs are 40-7 (.851) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cubs are just 32-40 (.444) after a home loss since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Cubs were just 19-11 (.633) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Cubs are just 3-127 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .471 (2,855 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .228 (2,855 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Giants hitters are slugging just .395 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Giants hitters are slugging just .243 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .333 (3,824 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.02 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .775 (1,689 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 354 of 5,179 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 78 of 1,235 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 84 of 1,234 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (3,442 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last 14 days (14 games) — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Fulmer (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Patrick Bailey (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, D10
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