Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 1

(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
  • The Diamondbacks are -130 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Giants / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | NSBA

The San Francisco Giants (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) on Tuesday, July 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Giants are 45-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 40-44 ATS.

Giants vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 3-2, 4.13 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 5-9, 5.74 ERA

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -190O 9 +100+110
Diamondbacks -1.5 +155U 9 -120-130

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+15.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.95 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jung Hoo Lee has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+15.50 Units / 194% ROI)
  • Pavin Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Zac Gallen has hit the Earned Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+14.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+13.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 away games (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 68 games (+18.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 68 games (+15.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 36-49 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -11.41% ROI).

  • 45-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -6.77% ROI
  • 37-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.35 Units / -13.28% ROI
  • 45-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 3.82% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 40-44 against the Run Line (-8.71 Units / -8.16% ROI).

  • 42-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / -9.9% ROI
  • 43-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 2.26% ROI
  • 37-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.1 Units / -10.99% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +375 0.5 -525
Rafael Devers (SF) 0.5 +375 0.5 -525
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Willy Adames (SF) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jung-hoo Lee (SF) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Rafael Devers (SF) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Jake McCarthy (ARI) 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Rafael Devers (SF) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zac Gallen (ARI) 5.5 +100 5.5 -135
Hayden Birdsong (SF) 4.5 +125 4.5 -160

Hayden Birdsong has allowed three-ball counts to 29% of batters he faced (165/566 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 0 Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of left-handed batters he faced (102/309 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong allowed three-ball counts to 32% of batters they faced (102/315 PA’s) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 0 Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong walked 14% of batters in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zac Gallen has walked 12% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Zac Gallen has an ERA of 6.29 (48.2 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.30 — second Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 59% (261/442) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a strikeout rate of just 15% (12 SO in 78 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are 10-31 (.244) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Giants are 16-3 (.842) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Giants are 3-35 (.079) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .044.

The Giants are 7-32 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are 12-8 (.600) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Giants (Ranks fifth runs allowed) today.

The Diamondbacks are just 36-8 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Diamondbacks are 18-8 (.692) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Giants (Ranks 22nd runs scored) today.

The Diamondbacks are just 38-4 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.

The Giants are batting just .276 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

The Giants are batting just .213 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Giants hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.

Giants hitters are slugging just .424 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .777 (9,527 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 6% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .343 (4,674 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

The Diamondbacks have allowed 1.80 runs per game (151/84) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.33.

Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 4.90 (363.1 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.