Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 25

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 25, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (48-47) are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (42-53)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Jakob Junis (4-1), 3.06 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Tyler Gilbert (0-3), 5.34 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The San Francisco Giants (-135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) on Monday, July 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 48-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 54-41 ATS.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +120O 9 -105-135
Diamondbacks +1.5 -145U 9 -115+110

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s matchup with 60.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Evan Longoria has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 away games (+7.70 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 56 games (+27.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 40 of his last 56 games (+15.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 41 of his last 59 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 41 games at home (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.15 Units / 48% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Carson Kelly 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Christian Walker 0.5 +325 0.5 -600
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
David Peralta 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Carson Kelly 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Christian Walker 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
David Peralta 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Carson Kelly 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Christian Walker 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
David Peralta 0.5 +135 0.5 -190

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Gilbert 3.5 -110 3.5 -130
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 87 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 43 games (+4.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 away games (+3.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 84 games (+12.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games at home (+7.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 45-50 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -7.71% ROI).

  • 48-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -11.65% ROI
  • 46-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -2.5% ROI
  • 44-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.35 Units / -6.95% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 54-41 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 7.55% ROI).

  • 42-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -5.61% ROI
  • 42-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -11.06% ROI
  • 49-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 1.85% ROI

Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 54% of the time (399/743) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has recorded 35 of his 42 strikeouts (83%) with his slider this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (504/743) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to June 5th — Miles Mikolas has the longest active streak at 5.

Tyler Gilbert: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Gilbert has a strikeout rate of just 13% (4 SO in 31 PAs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.

Tyler Gilbert has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to July 5th — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 8.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (11/37) against Tyler Gilbert this month (3 games) — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 12th Percentile.

Tyler Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of just .225 (9 Total Bases / 40 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .414 — 94th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are just 6-9 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 16-6 (.727) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

The Giants are 25-7 (.781) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Giants are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 89-26 (.774) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 97-17 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are 6-39 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Diamondbacks are just 32-5 (.865) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Giants hitters have drawn 690 walks in 7,048 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Giants are batting just .208 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

The Giants are batting .365 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Giants have a winning percentage of 59% on the road since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .191 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .201 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .223 on the road since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants pitchers have walked 680 of 9,570 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Giants): Hamstring, D15
  • Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Brandon Crawford (Giants): Right Knee, D10
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.