Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 25

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 25, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (48-47) are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (42-53)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Jakob Junis (4-1), 3.06 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Tyler Gilbert (0-3), 5.34 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The San Francisco Giants (-135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) on Monday, July 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 48-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 54-41 ATS.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +120O 9 -105-135
Diamondbacks +1.5 -145U 9 -115+110

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s matchup with 60.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Evan Longoria has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 away games (+7.70 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 56 games (+27.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 40 of his last 56 games (+15.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 41 of his last 59 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 41 games at home (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.15 Units / 48% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Carson Kelly 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Christian Walker 0.5 +325 0.5 -600
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
David Peralta 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Carson Kelly 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Christian Walker 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
David Peralta 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Carson Kelly 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Christian Walker 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
David Peralta 0.5 +135 0.5 -190

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Gilbert 3.5 -110 3.5 -130
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 87 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 43 games (+4.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 away games (+3.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 84 games (+12.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games at home (+7.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 45-50 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -7.71% ROI).

  • 48-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -11.65% ROI
  • 46-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -2.5% ROI
  • 44-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.35 Units / -6.95% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 54-41 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 7.55% ROI).

  • 42-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -5.61% ROI
  • 42-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -11.06% ROI
  • 49-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 1.85% ROI

Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 54% of the time (399/743) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has recorded 35 of his 42 strikeouts (83%) with his slider this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (504/743) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to June 5th — Miles Mikolas has the longest active streak at 5.

Tyler Gilbert: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Gilbert has a strikeout rate of just 13% (4 SO in 31 PAs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.

Tyler Gilbert has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to July 5th — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 8.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (11/37) against Tyler Gilbert this month (3 games) — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 12th Percentile.

Tyler Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of just .225 (9 Total Bases / 40 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .414 — 94th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are just 6-9 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 16-6 (.727) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

The Giants are 25-7 (.781) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Giants are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 89-26 (.774) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 97-17 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are 6-39 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Diamondbacks are just 32-5 (.865) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Giants hitters have drawn 690 walks in 7,048 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Giants are batting just .208 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

The Giants are batting .365 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Giants have a winning percentage of 59% on the road since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .191 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .201 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .223 on the road since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants pitchers have walked 680 of 9,570 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Giants): Hamstring, D15
  • Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Brandon Crawford (Giants): Right Knee, D10
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.