Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 26, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (48-48) are -190 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (43-53)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (8-5), 2.94 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Tyler Gilbert (0-3), 5.34 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The San Francisco Giants (-190) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+155) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 48-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 55-41 ATS.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 -115O 8.5 -110-190
Diamondbacks +1.5 -105U 8.5 -110+155

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 57.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Evan Longoria has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 away games (+10.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+9.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+8.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 57 games (+26.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 41 of his last 57 games (+16.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 42 games at home (+11.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+11.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.15 Units / 48% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Carson Kelly 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Christian Walker 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +1050 0.5

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Carson Kelly 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Christian Walker 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -135 0.5 -105

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Carson Kelly 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Christian Walker 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +280 0.5 -450

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Gilbert 3.5 -110 3.5 -130
Carlos Rodon 7.5 +100 7.5 -145
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 88 games (+10.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 44 games (+5.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 away games (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 85 games (+13.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games at home (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games at home (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 45-51 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -9.33% ROI).

  • 48-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.5 Units / -12.3% ROI
  • 46-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -3.52% ROI
  • 45-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.35 Units / -5.94% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 55-41 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 8.89% ROI).

  • 43-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -4.61% ROI
  • 42-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.6 Units / -11.99% ROI
  • 50-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 2.77% ROI

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (85 SO in 220 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 35% (36 SO in 104 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just .000 (0/14) against Carlos Rodon — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .311 (126 Total Bases / 405 ABs) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 92nd Percentile.

Tyler Gilbert: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Gilbert has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to July 5th — the longest active streak is 8.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (16/109) against Tyler Gilbert this month (3 games) — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .455 against Tyler Gilbert this month (3 games) — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .254 — second Percentile.

Tyler Gilbert has a strikeout rate of just 7% (4 SO in 56 PAs) this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are 5-36 (.122) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Giants are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 21-105 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Giants are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 90-26 (.776) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 98-17 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 18-26 (.409) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Diamondbacks are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are batting just .210 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Giants hitters have drawn 690 walks in 7,076 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Giants have a winning percentage of 58% on the road since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .191 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .584 (1,892 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .312 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .375 against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants pitchers have walked 140 of 2,314 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Giants): Hamstring, D15
  • Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Brandon Crawford (Giants): Right Knee, D10
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.