Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 27, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Giants (48-49) are -115 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (44-53)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb (9-3), 2.76 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (5-2), 3.30 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The San Francisco Giants (-115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) on Wednesday, July 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 48-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 56-41 ATS.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +145O 7.5 -105-115
Diamondbacks +1.5 -175U 7.5 -115-105

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 75.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+11.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Evan Longoria has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 away games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 58 games (+25.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 41 of his last 58 games (+14.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 42 of his last 61 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+10.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Christian Walker 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
David Peralta 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jake McCarthy 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
David Peralta 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Jake McCarthy 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Jose Herrera 0.5 -120 0.5 -115

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Christian Walker 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
David Peralta 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Jake McCarthy 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zac Gallen 5.5 +105 5.5 -150
Logan Webb 4.5 -140 4.5 +100
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 89 games (+11.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 45 games (+4.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 86 games (+14.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 19 games (+13.70 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games at home (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+7.50 Units / 18% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 45-52 against the Run Line (-12.4 Units / -10.22% ROI).

  • 48-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units / -13.45% ROI
  • 47-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -2.54% ROI
  • 45-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -6.9% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 56-41 against the Run Line (+12.1 Units / 9.61% ROI).

  • 44-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -3.03% ROI
  • 43-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -10.92% ROI
  • 50-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.72% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 78% (14/18) against Logan Webb — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .392 (29-for-74) against Logan Webb on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .271 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (205/359) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (546/840) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (22/132) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

10 of Zac Gallen’s 27 breaking pitch strikeouts (37%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .167 (30-for-180) against Zac Gallen this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .395 (17-for-43) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — 17th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are just 15-43 (.259) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Giants are 5-37 (.119) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Giants are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 25-7 (.781) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 99-17 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 91-26 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 13-43 (.232) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Giants are batting just .210 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Giants are batting just .137 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .191 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .223 on the road since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 690 of 9,645 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants pitchers have walked 143 of 2,322 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): , D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Giants): Hamstring, D15
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Brandon Crawford (Giants): Right Knee, D10
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.