- The Giants (48-49) are -115 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (44-53)
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb (9-3), 2.76 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (5-2), 3.30 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants (-115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) on Wednesday, July 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 48-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 56-41 ATS.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 -105 | -115 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -115 | -105 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 75.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+11.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 away games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 58 games (+25.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 41 of his last 58 games (+14.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 42 of his last 61 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+10.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jose Herrera | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -150 |
| Logan Webb | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 89 games (+11.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 45 games (+4.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 86 games (+14.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 19 games (+13.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games at home (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+7.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 45-52 against the Run Line (-12.4 Units / -10.22% ROI).
- 48-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units / -13.45% ROI
- 47-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -2.54% ROI
- 45-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -6.9% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 56-41 against the Run Line (+12.1 Units / 9.61% ROI).
- 44-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -3.03% ROI
- 43-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -10.92% ROI
- 50-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.72% ROI
Logan Webb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 78% (14/18) against Logan Webb — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .392 (29-for-74) against Logan Webb on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .271 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (205/359) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (546/840) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (22/132) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
10 of Zac Gallen’s 27 breaking pitch strikeouts (37%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .167 (30-for-180) against Zac Gallen this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .395 (17-for-43) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — 17th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are just 15-43 (.259) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Giants are 5-37 (.119) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Giants are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 25-7 (.781) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are just 99-17 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 91-26 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 13-43 (.232) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .210 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Giants are batting just .137 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .191 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .223 on the road since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 690 of 9,645 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 143 of 2,322 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): , D15
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Trevor Rosenthal (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Right Knee, D10
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
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