- The Giants are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Giants vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (-120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) on Thursday, July 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ, AZ.
This season, the Giants are 46-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 41-45 ATS.
Giants vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 8-3, 2.78 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 8-5, 5.41 ERA
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -115 | -120 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -170 | U 8.5 -105 | +100 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Giants vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Matos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+20.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Luis Matos has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Luis Matos has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Luis Matos has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+25.00 Units / 312% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.50 Units / 74% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+13.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+12.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 away games (+6.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 70 games (+17.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 70 games (+15.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 37-50 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -11.81% ROI).
- 46-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -6.49% ROI
- 39-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -10.86% ROI
- 45-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 1.56% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 41-45 against the Run Line (-8.11 Units / -7.46% ROI).
- 43-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -10.01% ROI
- 45-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 4.31% ROI
- 37-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.2 Units / -12.98% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray (SF) | 5.5 -165 | 5.5 +125 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has walked 11% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 13th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has a strike rate of 69% (325/472) in two strike counts this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 89th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .243 (9-for-37) against Robbie Ray on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .337 — 94th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has picked-off 4 runners this season — tied for 2nd most among among NL Starters — 95th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .418 (74 Total Bases / 177 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OPS of .715 (199 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .481 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (84/275) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .440 (73 Total Bases / 166 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .276 — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are 10-32 (.238) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Giants are 7-33 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Giants are just 37-3 (.925) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.
The Giants are 16-3 (.842) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are just 37-8 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are 19-9 (.679) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Giants (Ranks 22nd runs scored) today.
The Diamondbacks are just 39-4 (.907) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.
The Diamondbacks are 34-10 (.773) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .212 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Giants are batting just .272 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Giants hitters are slugging just .159 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .282 (801 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .468 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .781 (6,750 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .444 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 4.90 (363.1 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Giants vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
