Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 04, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (40-37) are -190 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (35-44)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (7-4), 2.61 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner (3-8), 3.63 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The San Francisco Giants (-190) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+155) on Monday, July 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 40-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 43-36 ATS.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 -115O 8 -115-190
Diamondbacks +1.5 -105U 8 -105+155

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.35 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+5.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+15.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+8.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Buddy Kennedy has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.30 Units / 46% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Carson Kelly 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Christian Walker 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Cooper Hummel 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +1100 0.5

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Carson Kelly 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Christian Walker 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Cooper Hummel 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -125 0.5 -110

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Carson Kelly 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Christian Walker 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Cooper Hummel 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +325 0.5 -550

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Madison Bumgarner 4.5 -110 4.5 -135
Carlos Rodon 7.5 +110 7.5 -155
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 69 games (+11.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+5.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+9.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+7.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 68 games (+5.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games at home (+0.15 Units / 0% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 37-40 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -5.32% ROI).

  • 40-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -10.42% ROI
  • 37-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -2.01% ROI
  • 35-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -6.96% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 43-36 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 2.85% ROI).

  • 35-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -5.37% ROI
  • 35-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -10.99% ROI
  • 41-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 2.28% ROI

Opponents are hitting .201 (40-for-199) against Carlos Rodon with two-strikes this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 12th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (75 SO in 191 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 35% (26 SO in 75 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strike rate of 72% (194/271) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Madison Bumgarner: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

18 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Madison Bumgarner has allowed an OPS of .718 (176 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .482 — first Percentile.

49 of Madison Bumgarner’s 125 breaking pitch strikeouts (39%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .245 (40-for-163) against Madison Bumgarner with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are just 2-27 (.069) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Giants are 33-2 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Giants are 20-5 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Giants are 28-5 (.848) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 83-22 (.790) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Diamondbacks are just 91-15 (.858) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are 13-4 (.765) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .672.

The Giants are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Giants hitters are slugging .431 against RHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

The Giants are batting just .119 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.

The Giants have a winning percentage of 61% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .187 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .138 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 130 of 2,149 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Ian Kennedy (Diamondbacks): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
  • Thairo Estrada (Giants): Illness, D10
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Back, D15
  • Brandon Crawford (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Undisclosed, D60
  • Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D15
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.