Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 04, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (40-37) are -190 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (35-44)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (7-4), 2.61 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner (3-8), 3.63 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The San Francisco Giants (-190) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+155) on Monday, July 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 40-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 43-36 ATS.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 -115O 8 -115-190
Diamondbacks +1.5 -105U 8 -105+155

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.35 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+5.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+15.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+8.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Buddy Kennedy has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.30 Units / 46% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Carson Kelly 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Christian Walker 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Cooper Hummel 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +1100 0.5

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Carson Kelly 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Christian Walker 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Cooper Hummel 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -125 0.5 -110

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Buddy Kennedy 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Carson Kelly 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Christian Walker 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Cooper Hummel 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +325 0.5 -550

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Madison Bumgarner 4.5 -110 4.5 -135
Carlos Rodon 7.5 +110 7.5 -155
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 69 games (+11.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+5.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+9.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+7.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 68 games (+5.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games at home (+0.15 Units / 0% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 37-40 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -5.32% ROI).

  • 40-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -10.42% ROI
  • 37-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -2.01% ROI
  • 35-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -6.96% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 43-36 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 2.85% ROI).

  • 35-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -5.37% ROI
  • 35-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -10.99% ROI
  • 41-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 2.28% ROI

Opponents are hitting .201 (40-for-199) against Carlos Rodon with two-strikes this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 12th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (75 SO in 191 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 35% (26 SO in 75 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strike rate of 72% (194/271) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Madison Bumgarner: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

18 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Madison Bumgarner has allowed an OPS of .718 (176 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .482 — first Percentile.

49 of Madison Bumgarner’s 125 breaking pitch strikeouts (39%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .245 (40-for-163) against Madison Bumgarner with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are just 2-27 (.069) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Giants are 33-2 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Giants are 20-5 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Giants are 28-5 (.848) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 83-22 (.790) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Diamondbacks are just 91-15 (.858) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are 13-4 (.765) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .672.

The Giants are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Giants hitters are slugging .431 against RHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

The Giants are batting just .119 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.

The Giants have a winning percentage of 61% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .187 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .138 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 130 of 2,149 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Ian Kennedy (Diamondbacks): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
  • Thairo Estrada (Giants): Illness, D10
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Back, D15
  • Brandon Crawford (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Undisclosed, D60
  • Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D15
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.