- The Giants (40-39) are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (37-44)
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (3-3), 4.58 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (7-5), 3.46 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants (-135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) on Wednesday, July 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 40-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 45-36 ATS.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +120 | O 8.5 -110 | -135 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -145 | U 8.5 -110 | +110 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.35 Units / 74% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+6.30 Units / 65% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tommy La Stella has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.90 Units / 76% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+16.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Buddy Kennedy has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Buddy Kennedy has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cooper Hummel | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cooper Hummel | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Cooper Hummel | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
| Alex Cobb | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 71 games (+11.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 27 games (+5.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+9.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 70 games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+7.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 58% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 37-42 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -7.63% ROI).
- 40-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -13.07% ROI
- 38-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -2.19% ROI
- 36-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -7.02% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 45-36 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 4.69% ROI).
- 37-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -1.75% ROI
- 36-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -10.94% ROI
- 42-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 2% ROI
Alexander Cobb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (92/147) against Alex Cobb this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (326/818) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (107/188) against Alex Cobb since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has allowed a BABIP of .400 vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .276 — first Percentile.
Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 67% when ahead in the count (seventh highest)– 91st Percentile and 66% when behind in the count this season (eighth lowest among qualified SPs)– 11th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .220 (9-for-41) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (19/28) against Merrill Kelly — tied for highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (34/170) against Merrill Kelly with runners in scoring position this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 12th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are just 2-28 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Giants are 28-5 (.848) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Giants are 20-5 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Giants are just 5-6 (.455) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are just 84-22 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 45-104 (.302) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Diamondbacks are 6-34 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .080.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .216.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .210 with two outs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 619 of 8,964 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants pitchers have walked 203 of 2,962 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Kennedy (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
- Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Illness, D10
- Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Undisclosed, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D15
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
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