Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 06, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (40-39) are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (37-44)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (3-3), 4.58 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (7-5), 3.46 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The San Francisco Giants (-135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) on Wednesday, July 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 40-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 45-36 ATS.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +120O 8.5 -110-135
Diamondbacks +1.5 -145U 8.5 -110+110

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.35 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+6.30 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Evan Longoria has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tommy La Stella has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.90 Units / 76% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+16.25 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Buddy Kennedy has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Buddy Kennedy has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 31% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Carson Kelly 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Christian Walker 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Cooper Hummel 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Carson Kelly 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Christian Walker 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Cooper Hummel 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -190 0.5 +130

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Carson Kelly 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Christian Walker 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Cooper Hummel 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Merrill Kelly 4.5 -135 4.5 -105
Alex Cobb 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 71 games (+11.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 27 games (+5.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+9.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 70 games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+7.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 58% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 37-42 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -7.63% ROI).

  • 40-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -13.07% ROI
  • 38-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -2.19% ROI
  • 36-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -7.02% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 45-36 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 4.69% ROI).

  • 37-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -1.75% ROI
  • 36-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -10.94% ROI
  • 42-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 2% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (92/147) against Alex Cobb this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (326/818) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (107/188) against Alex Cobb since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has allowed a BABIP of .400 vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .276 — first Percentile.

Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 67% when ahead in the count (seventh highest)– 91st Percentile and 66% when behind in the count this season (eighth lowest among qualified SPs)– 11th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .220 (9-for-41) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (19/28) against Merrill Kelly — tied for highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (34/170) against Merrill Kelly with runners in scoring position this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 12th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are just 2-28 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Giants are 28-5 (.848) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Giants are 20-5 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The Giants are just 5-6 (.455) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 84-22 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 45-104 (.302) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.

The Diamondbacks are 6-34 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .080.

The Giants are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Giants hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .216.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .210 with two outs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 619 of 8,964 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants pitchers have walked 203 of 2,962 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Ian Kennedy (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Thairo Estrada (Giants): Illness, D10
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Undisclosed, D60
  • Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D15
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.