Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2023, 11:44 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -120 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb, 3.60 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Thomas Henry, 6.48 ERA

The San Francisco Giants (+100) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Tuesday, March 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale.

The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Giants are 4-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 6-6 ATS.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -185O 11.5 -110+100
Diamondbacks -1.5 +150U 11.5 -110-120

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 54.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Brandon Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Ford Proctor has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Brandon Crawford has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.90 Units / 195% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seth Beer has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Jordan Luplow has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Cooper Hummel has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Nick Ahmed has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+3.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.80 Units / 51% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 4-7 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -26.69% ROI).

  • 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -33.46% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 4.55% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -12.81% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 6-6 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -4.14% ROI).

  • 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -6.9% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 11.61% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -18.39% ROI

Opponents had a groundball rate of 57% (326/567) against Logan Webb last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

Logan Webb located 73% of his pitches down (505/689) with runners in scoring position last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 62% of the time (1,604/2,581) vs left-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (304/490) against Logan Webb since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tommy Henry allowed a slugging percentage of .644 (38 Total Bases / 59 ABs) over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .401 — third Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 17% (8/47) versus Tommy Henry over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 91st Percentile.

Tommy Henry allowed an OPS of .983 (66 PA’s) over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .702 — third Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are 54-9 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.

The Giants are 8-65 (.110) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Giants are just 10-14 (.417) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 63-4 (.940) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 13-34 (.277) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Giants hitters slugged just .375 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.

The Giants batted just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Giants hitters struck out 479 times in 1,932 PA’s (25%) against LHP last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Giants batted .368 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Diamondbacks hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .208 in righty-righty matchups since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of just .296 (728 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 857 of 12,072 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Diamondbacks pitchers last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
  • San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.