- The Giants (73-77) are -175 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (70-81)
- Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (13-8), 2.84 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: – (-), – ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The San Francisco Giants (-175) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+145) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 73-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 87-63 ATS.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 -105 | O 8 -105 | -175 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -115 | U 8 -115 | +145 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Lewis Brinson has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+14.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -160 |
| Tommy Henry | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 71 of their last 142 games (+6.70 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 97% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 62% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 73 games (+36.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+13.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 72% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 69-78 against the Run Line (-16.6 Units / -9.14% ROI).
- 73-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.2 Units / -10.88% ROI
- 68-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -6.24% ROI
- 71-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -2.85% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 87-63 against the Run Line (+20.55 Units / 10.77% ROI).
- 70-80 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 0.92% ROI
- 66-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.7 Units / -12.59% ROI
- 79-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.3 Units / 3.19% ROI
Carlos Rodón: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 40% (100 SO in 251 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (66/182) against Carlos Rodon in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — fourth Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 33% (220 SO in 670 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (327/671) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
–: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are 48-9 (.842) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Giants are 58-4 (.935) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Giants are 23-131 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are just 8-13 (.381) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are just 109-34 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Diamondbacks are just 11-33 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 120-22 (.845) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 32-179 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants hitters are averaging 4.01 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .322 (8,324 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Giants are batting just .136 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .214 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .217 (296 PA’s) against LHP this month (20 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.
Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 384 walks in 4,019 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 173 of 2,794 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the past seven days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Toe, D15
- Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks): Arm, D15
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Carlos Rodón (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas La Stella (Giants): Neck, D10
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
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