Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 23, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Giants (73-77) are -175 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (70-81)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (13-8), 2.84 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: (-), ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The San Francisco Giants (-175) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+145) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 73-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 87-63 ATS.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 -105O 8 -105-175
Diamondbacks +1.5 -115U 8 -115+145

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Lewis Brinson has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+14.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Zac Gallen has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carson Kelly 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Christian Walker 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +1200 0.5

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carson Kelly 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Christian Walker 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -115 0.5 -120

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carson Kelly 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Christian Walker 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +310 0.5 -550

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Rodon 7.5 +110 7.5 -160
Tommy Henry 4.5 +110 4.5 -160
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 71 of their last 142 games (+6.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 97% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 73 games (+36.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+13.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 72% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 69-78 against the Run Line (-16.6 Units / -9.14% ROI).

  • 73-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.2 Units / -10.88% ROI
  • 68-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -6.24% ROI
  • 71-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -2.85% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 87-63 against the Run Line (+20.55 Units / 10.77% ROI).

  • 70-80 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 0.92% ROI
  • 66-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.7 Units / -12.59% ROI
  • 79-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.3 Units / 3.19% ROI

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 40% (100 SO in 251 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (66/182) against Carlos Rodon in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — fourth Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 33% (220 SO in 670 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (327/671) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are 48-9 (.842) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Giants are 58-4 (.935) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Giants are 23-131 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Giants are just 8-13 (.381) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 109-34 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.

The Diamondbacks are just 11-33 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 120-22 (.845) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 32-179 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Giants hitters are averaging 4.01 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Giants hitters have an OBP of .322 (8,324 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

The Giants are batting just .136 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .214 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .217 (296 PA’s) against LHP this month (20 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.

Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 384 walks in 4,019 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 173 of 2,794 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the past seven days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Toe, D15
  • Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks): Arm, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
  • Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
  • Carlos Rodón (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
  • Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas La Stella (Giants): Neck, D10
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.