Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 24, 2022, 11:18 AM
  • The Diamondbacks (70-82) are -120 favorites vs the Giants (74-77)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (6-6), 3.47 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (12-7), 3.15 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The San Francisco Giants (+100) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at 1.5.

The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 74-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 88-63 ATS.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5O 7.5 -110+100
Diamondbacks +1.5U 7.5 -110-120

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s matchup with 52.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.20 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 54 games at home (+11.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Zac Gallen has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +1000 0.5
Carson Kelly 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Christian Walker 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Carson Kelly 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Carson Kelly 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Christian Walker 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Merrill Kelly 5.5 -120 5.5 -115
Alex Cobb 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 58 away games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 74 games (+37.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+12.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.70 Units / 108% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 69-79 against the Run Line (-17.65 Units / -9.66% ROI).

  • 74-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.2 Units / -10.33% ROI
  • 69-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -5.58% ROI
  • 71-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -3.44% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 88-63 against the Run Line (+21.55 Units / 11.22% ROI).

  • 70-81 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.33% ROI
  • 67-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.7 Units / -11.9% ROI
  • 79-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 2.57% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (183/306) against Alex Cobb since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (624/1,533) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (881/1,790) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (206/419) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .239 (188 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .082 (4-for-49) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .155 — 92nd Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has located his fastball away 51% of the time (1,443/2,839) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 70% (1,000/1,431) in two strike counts since the start of last season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are 23-4 (.852) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Giants are 49-9 (.845) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Giants are 58-4 (.935) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .882.

The Giants are 7-62 (.101) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 109-34 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 120-22 (.845) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are just 52-15 (.776) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .882.

The Diamondbacks are just 32-179 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

The Giants are batting just .222 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Giants hitters have 462 strikeouts in 1,874 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Giants are batting .301 on the road over the last 14 days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Giants are batting just .170 at home over the last 14 days (6 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .225 (317 PA’s) against LHP this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .307.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .363 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 173 of 2,803 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have walked 827 of 11,664 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (23 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the last 14 days (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Toe, D15
  • Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks): Arm, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
  • Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
  • Carlos Rodón (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
  • Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas La Stella (Giants): Neck, D10
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.