Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 24, 2022, 11:18 AM
  • The Diamondbacks (70-82) are -120 favorites vs the Giants (74-77)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (6-6), 3.47 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (12-7), 3.15 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The San Francisco Giants (+100) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at 1.5.

The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 74-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 88-63 ATS.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5O 7.5 -110+100
Diamondbacks +1.5U 7.5 -110-120

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s matchup with 52.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.20 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 54 games at home (+11.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Zac Gallen has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +1000 0.5
Carson Kelly 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Christian Walker 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Carson Kelly 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Carson Kelly 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Christian Walker 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Merrill Kelly 5.5 -120 5.5 -115
Alex Cobb 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 58 away games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 74 games (+37.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+12.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.70 Units / 108% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 69-79 against the Run Line (-17.65 Units / -9.66% ROI).

  • 74-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.2 Units / -10.33% ROI
  • 69-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -5.58% ROI
  • 71-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -3.44% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 88-63 against the Run Line (+21.55 Units / 11.22% ROI).

  • 70-81 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.33% ROI
  • 67-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.7 Units / -11.9% ROI
  • 79-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 2.57% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (183/306) against Alex Cobb since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (624/1,533) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (881/1,790) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (206/419) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .239 (188 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .082 (4-for-49) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .155 — 92nd Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has located his fastball away 51% of the time (1,443/2,839) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 70% (1,000/1,431) in two strike counts since the start of last season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are 23-4 (.852) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Giants are 49-9 (.845) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Giants are 58-4 (.935) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .882.

The Giants are 7-62 (.101) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 109-34 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 120-22 (.845) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are just 52-15 (.776) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .882.

The Diamondbacks are just 32-179 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

The Giants are batting just .222 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Giants hitters have 462 strikeouts in 1,874 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Giants are batting .301 on the road over the last 14 days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Giants are batting just .170 at home over the last 14 days (6 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .225 (317 PA’s) against LHP this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .307.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .363 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 173 of 2,803 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have walked 827 of 11,664 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (23 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the last 14 days (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Toe, D15
  • Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks): Arm, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
  • Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
  • Carlos Rodón (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
  • Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas La Stella (Giants): Neck, D10
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.