- The Diamondbacks (71-82) are -120 favorites vs the Giants (74-78)
- Giants starting pitcher: Scott Alexander (0-0), 1.38 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Drey Jameson (2-0), 1.38 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The San Francisco Giants (+100) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Sunday, September 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at –1.5.
The Giants vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 74-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 89-64 ATS.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 | O 8.5 -110 | +100 |
| Diamondbacks | –1.5 | U 8.5 -110 | -120 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.20 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+13.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 55 games at home (+12.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+11.10 Units / 39% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.50 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 39 games at home (+17.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 76 games at home (+12.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games at home (+4.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 71-81 against the Run Line (-18.3 Units / -9.7% ROI).
- 74-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.9 Units / -11.44% ROI
- 69-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -7.45% ROI
- 74-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -1.6% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 89-64 against the Run Line (+22.05 Units / 11.35% ROI).
- 71-82 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.32% ROI
- 68-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.75 Units / -11.77% ROI
- 80-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 2.54% ROI
Scott Alexander: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 78% (14/18) against Scott Alexander this month (9 games) — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Scott Alexander has not allowed a walk in his last 61 PAs against a LHH dating back to April 1st, 2021 — Dylan Lee has the longest active streak at 70.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 71% (20/28) against Scott Alexander this month (10 games) — 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Scott Alexander has allowed an OBP of just .133 (15 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (9 games) — tied for 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — 95th Percentile.
Drey Jameson: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drey Jameson has allowed an OBP of just .038 (26 PA’s) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .220 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 25 AB’s against Drey Jameson with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .153 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (21/35) against Drey Jameson — 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 94th Percentile.
Drey Jameson has allowed an OPS of just .038 (26 PA’s) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .455 — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are 49-9 (.845) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Giants are just 25-69 (.266) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Giants are 7-63 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Giants are 23-4 (.852) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are just 110-34 (.764) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 121-22 (.846) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 8-15 (.348) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 56-10 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .377 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Giants are batting just .222 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Giants are batting .360 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Giants hitters have drawn 339 walks in 3,564 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .219 with two outs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 827 of 11,664 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 173 of 2,803 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (23 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the last 14 days (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Toe, D15
- Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks): Arm, D15
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Carlos Rodón (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas La Stella (Giants): Neck, D10
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
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