Giants vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 21

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 21, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (60-30) are -130 favorites vs the Giants (48-43)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (8-5), 2.65 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Mitchell White (1-2), 4.20 ERA
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The San Francisco Giants (+110) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) on Thursday, July 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:09pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Giants vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 48-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 53-37 ATS.

Giants vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -190O 7.5 -105+110
Dodgers -1.5 +155U 7.5 -115-130

Giants vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 56.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Evan Longoria has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+10.10 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.60 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 46 of his last 87 games (+18.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.75 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.15 Units / 53% ROI)

Dodgers vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Gavin Lux 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Hanser Alberto 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Justin Turner 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Dodgers vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -125 0.5 -115
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Gavin Lux 0.5 -125 0.5 -110
Hanser Alberto 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Justin Turner 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Dodgers vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Gavin Lux 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Hanser Alberto 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Justin Turner 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Dodgers vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mitch White 4.5 -145 4.5 +105
Carlos Rodon 6.5 -130 6.5 -110
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 83 games (+12.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 39 games (+4.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 87 games (+14.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+11.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 90 games (+10.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 86 games (+5.90 Units / 5% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 45-46 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.81% ROI).

  • 48-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -9.07% ROI
  • 44-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -2.45% ROI
  • 42-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -6.92% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 53-37 against the Run Line (+12.85 Units / 12.03% ROI).

  • 60-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.39% ROI
  • 34-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -19.32% ROI
  • 48-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.3 Units / 10.42% ROI

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 34% (33 SO in 97 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (82 SO in 213 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has 32 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 48% (131 SO in 272 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 90th Percentile.

Mitchell White: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (11/21) against Mitch White — 13th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — eighth Percentile.

35% of Mitch White’s strikeouts were looking last season — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.

Mitch White has walked 4 of 31 right-handed batters (13%) this month (2 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.

Mitch White has walked 6 of 48 batters (12%) this month (2 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Giants are 5-33 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Giants are 37-2 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Giants are 33-5 (.868) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Giants are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Dodgers are 27-6 (.818) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .659.

The Dodgers are 109-45 (.708) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Dodgers are 100-58 (.633) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Dodgers are 55-12 (.821) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Giants are batting just .208 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Giants have a winning percentage of 60% on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .290 (403 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (6,865 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Dodgers hitters have drawn 697 walks in 6,865 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 138 of 2,274 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.99 (1128.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.4 MPH this season (2,106 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH (2,106 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Dodgers vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, D10
  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D15
  • Brandon Crawford (Giants): Right Knee, D10
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.