Giants vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 6

Cleveland Guardians' Josh Naylor runs the base path during a spring training baseball game against the San Diego Padres, Monday, Feb. 26, 2024, in Peoria, Ariz.
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
  • The Guardians are -125 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Giants / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NSBA | ESPN+

The San Francisco Giants (+105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-125) on Saturday, July 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Giants are 44-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 47-39 ATS.

Giants vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 4-3, 3.98 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-1, 5.47 ERA

Giants vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -185O 8.5 -110+105
Guardians -1.5 +150U 8.5 -110-125

Giants vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+6.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 49 games (+6.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 53 of their last 86 games (+16.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 86 games (+15.77 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games (+14.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 86 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 44-45 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -4.19% ROI).

  • 44-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -4.37% ROI
  • 48-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.55 Units / 6.74% ROI
  • 38-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.15 Units / -15.37% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 47-39 against the Run Line (+13.3 Units / 12.79% ROI).

  • 54-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.77 Units / 13.88% ROI
  • 42-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 38-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -8.51% ROI

Guardians vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Guardians vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Andres Gimenez (CLE) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Guardians vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Guardians vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Harrison (SF) 3.5 -145 3.5 +110
Logan Allen (CLE) 4.5 -135 4.5 +105

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (103/457) against Kyle Harrison this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (248/363) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (179/363) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has allowed a slugging percentage of .333 (49 Total Bases / 147 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .265 — 11th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .557 (44 Total Bases / 79 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 0 Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .638 (83 Total Bases / 130 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .397 — first Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .563 (152 Total Bases / 270 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .396 — first Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .584 (122 Total Bases / 209 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 0 Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Giants are 53-8 (.869) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Giants are 166-6 (.965) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Giants are just 53-73 (.421) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Giants are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Guardians are 28-11 (.718) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Guardians are 17-12 (.586) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Guardians are 31-28 (.525) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .429.

The Guardians are 47-51 (.480) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

Giants hitters have an OPS of just .488 (5,088 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

Giants hitters have drawn 223 walks in 2,237 PA’s (10%) when leading off an inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants hitters are slugging just .183 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.

The Giants are batting just .160 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.

Guardians hitters have just 2,007 strikeouts in 11,016 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 222 of 3,667 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.

The Guardians have allowed 0.76 runs per game (65/86) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Guardians vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
  • Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
  • Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
  • Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
  • Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
  • Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
  • James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.