Giants vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 7

Cleveland Guardians' Myles Straw attempts to run to first after grounding out to Los Angeles Angels starting pitcher Kenny Rosenberg who threw to first baseman Mike Moustakas during the first inning of a baseball game, Sunday, Sept. 10, 2023, in Anaheim, Calif.
(AP Photo/Ryan Sun)
  • The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Guardians Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Giants / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NSBA | MLBN

The San Francisco Giants (+115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-135) on Sunday, July 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Giants are 44-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 47-40 ATS.

Giants vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 1-0, 4.83 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 3-6, 5.24 ERA

Giants vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -175O 9 -120+115
Guardians -1.5 +145U 9 +100-135

Giants vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+5.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 87 games (+17.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 87 games (+16.77 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 73 games (+16.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 87 games (+12.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.20 Units / 30% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 45-45 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -3.3% ROI).

  • 44-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -5.26% ROI
  • 49-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.55 Units / 7.67% ROI
  • 38-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.2 Units / -16.27% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 47-40 against the Run Line (+12.3 Units / 11.71% ROI).

  • 55-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.77 Units / 14.59% ROI
  • 43-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 1.04% ROI
  • 38-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -9.52% ROI

Guardians vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Guardians vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
David Fry (CLE) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Tyler Freeman (CLE) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Guardians vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
David Fry (CLE) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Tyler Freeman (CLE) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Guardians vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hayden Birdsong (SF) 3.5 -165 3.5 +130
Carlos Carrasco (CLE) 4.5 -150 4.5 +115

Hayden Birdsong has limited playing time.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .392 (67-for-171) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of .935 (485 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: .709 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .359 (97-for-270) against Carlos Carrasco’s fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: .266 — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .604 (96 Total Bases / 159 ABs) on elevated fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .381 — 0 Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Giants are just 28-32 (.467) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.

The Giants are 9-111 (.075) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Giants are just 25-44 (.362) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Giants are just 9-13 (.409) after a road loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Guardians are 17-12 (.586) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Guardians are 29-11 (.725) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Guardians are 12-3 (.800) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .547.

The Guardians are 25-148 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

Giants hitters have drawn 225 walks in 2,246 PA’s (10%) when leading off an inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Giants have answered-back in 39% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Giants hitters are slugging just .383 against RHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Giants hitters are slugging just .385 since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Guardians hitters have just 2,010 strikeouts in 11,029 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

The Guardians are batting just .281 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 134 of 2,236 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.

Guardians pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Guardians have allowed 0.76 runs per game (66/87) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
  • Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
  • Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
  • Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
  • Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
  • Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
  • James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.