- The Guardians are -155 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Tristan Beck, 4.50 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill, 13.50 ERA
The San Francisco Giants (+130) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-155) on Thursday, March 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Goodyear.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Giants vs Guardians Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Giants are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 2-1 ATS.
Giants vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -140 | O 11.5 -105 | +130 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +115 | U 11.5 -115 | -155 |
Giants vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 57.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 87% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brandon Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Ford Proctor has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.35 Units / 84% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Bryan Lavastida has hit the Singles Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 78 of their last 154 games (+9.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 89 of their last 150 games (+26.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 150 games (+8.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 73 games at home (+6.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games at home (+5.96 Units / 9% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 1-4 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -58.4% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -25.21% ROI
- 5-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 90.09% ROI
- 0-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -100% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 24.69% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -20% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 25% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -35.94% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tristan Beck is making his MLB debut today.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 15% (115/778) against Cal Quantrill last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
30 of Cal Quantrill’s 101 breaking pitch strikeouts (30%) have been backdoor since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill had a strike rate of just 62% (533/861) in two strike counts last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 19% (94/499) against Cal Quantrill last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Giants are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Giants are 24-134 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are 28-11 (.718) when scoring in the first inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Giants are 8-65 (.110) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Guardians are 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Guardians are 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 52-7 (.881) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Guardians are 63-3 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants batted just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Giants batted .368 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Giants hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Giants hitters slugged .624 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters missed on just 21% of swings last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .343 against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians hitters had 93 extra-base hits out of 341 total hits (just 27%) against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 177 of 2,900 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 857 of 12,072 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers walked 435 of 5,989 batters (7%) last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .225 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Guardians vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
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