- The Marlins are -120 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Marlins starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
- Watch the game on BSFL
The San Francisco Giants (+100) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-120) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Giants vs Marlins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 5-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 6-10 ATS.
Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -210 | O 7 +105 | +100 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +170 | U 7 -125 | -120 |
Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+8.65 Units / 76% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 away games (+7.05 Units / 78% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.55 Units / 94% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.90 Units / 47% ROI)
Marlins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Yuli Gurriel | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Marlins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Marlins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Marlins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -130 |
| Logan Webb | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 5-9 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -33.07% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -34.3% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 23.05% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -31.49% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 6-10 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -31.77% ROI).
- 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 2.19% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -21.84% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 12.64% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (349/612) against Logan Webb since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Webb has struck out 42% (17/40) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 16% (7/45) against Logan Webb on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (1,038/1,626) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (51/142) against Jesus Luzardo this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 46% (12/26) against Jesus Luzardo when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of .600 (20 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (36/91) against Jesus Luzardo in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are 51-59 (.464) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Giants are 27-38 (.415) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Giants are 24-134 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are 22-113 (.163) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins are 8-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Marlins are just 9-42 (.176) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Marlins are just 61-9 (.871) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Marlins are just 39-30 (.565) when favorites since the 2022 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .604.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging .503 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Giants hitters are slugging just .282 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .863 (400 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .541 (162 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have put 48% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Marlins hitters have 387 strikeouts in 1,431 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have 853 strikeouts in 3,127 PA’s (27%) against LHP since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .279 (1,431 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 898 of 12,610 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have walked 17 of 142 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Steven Okert (Marlins): Adductor, D15
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D15
- Jon Chargois (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Oblique, D10
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
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