- The Giants are -110 favorites vs the Marlins
- Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera
- Watch the game on BSFL
The San Francisco Giants (-110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-110) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Giants vs Marlins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 5-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 6-11 ATS.
Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -115 | -110 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -105 | -110 |
Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 63.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+7.40 Units / 148% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Brandon Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.15 Units / 68% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.90 Units / 47% ROI)
Marlins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Marlins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Marlins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Marlins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Wood | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Edward Cabrera | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 32% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 6-9 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -25.12% ROI).
- 5-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -37.91% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 15.55% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -23.12% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 6-11 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -34.69% ROI).
- 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 7.18% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -26.09% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 17.06% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (169/458) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Wood has a strike rate of just 57% (70/123) against right-handed batters this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (555/1,610) in non-two strike counts since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting just .067 (1-for-15) against Alex Wood this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 14 of 57 batters (25%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 47 of 348 batters (14%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 7 of 23 batters (30%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has a strike rate of just 53% (93/177) in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are 24-134 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are 51-59 (.464) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Giants are just 5-8 (.385) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Giants are 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .880.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins are 9-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Marlins are just 111-18 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Marlins are 43-5 (.896) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Marlins are just 40-52 (.435) at home since the 2022 season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Giants hitters are slugging just .297 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .566 (191 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .268 (191 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have put 48% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Marlins hitters are averaging just 3.52 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .613 (1,436 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Marlins hitters have 983 strikeouts in 3,653 PA’s (27%) against LHP since the 2020 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 101 of 1,574 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 6.23 (52.0 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Marlins pitchers have walked 18 of 151 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Okert (Marlins): Adductor, D15
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D15
- Jon Chargois (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Oblique, D10
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
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