- The – are favorites vs the –
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Marlins starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers
- Watch the game on BSFL
The San Francisco Giants () visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins () on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Miami.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Giants vs Marlins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 5-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 7-11 ATS.
Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | O | ||
| Marlins | U |
Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+7.40 Units / 148% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Brandon Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.15 Units / 67% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Avisail Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.25 Units / 81% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
Marlins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| David Villar | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Heliot Ramos | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Marlins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| David Villar | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Heliot Ramos | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Marlins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| David Villar | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Heliot Ramos | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
Marlins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | 4.5 -200 | 4.5 +145 |
| Trevor Rogers | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.65 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 6-10 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -28.48% ROI).
- 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -41.3% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 8.6% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -16.01% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 7-11 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -28.34% ROI).
- 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 11.62% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -30.08% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 21.04% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (146/231) against Alex Cobb since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (767/1,885) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (184/295) against Alex Cobb in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (1,105/2,668) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Rogers has allowed an OBP of .467 (92 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .322 — second Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (164/544) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed an OPS of 1.100 (92 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .762 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .399 (81-for-203) against Trevor Rogers in non-two strike counts since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .330 — second Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are 27-38 (.415) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Giants are 24-134 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are just 5-9 (.357) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Giants are 51-59 (.464) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins are just 58-14 (.806) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Marlins are just 112-18 (.862) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Marlins are just 9-14 (.391) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Marlins are just 77-81 (.487) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging .487 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .353 (436 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Giants hitters have 177 strikeouts in 634 PA’s (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .278 (1,447 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .333 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Marlins hitters have put 47% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .611 (1,447 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 101 of 1,582 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 6.23 (52.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Marlins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Okert (Marlins): Adductor, D15
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D15
- Jon Chargois (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Oblique, D10
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
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