- The Giants (28-23) are -110 favorites vs the Marlins (21-29)
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb (5-1), 3.52 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Pablo López (4-2), 1.83 ERA
- Watch the game on BSFL
The San Francisco Giants (-110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-110) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Giants vs Marlins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 28-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 26-24 ATS.
Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +155 | O 7 -120 | -110 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -190 | U 7 +100 | -110 |
Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 78.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jorge Soler has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+6.15 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.45 Units / 89% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1H Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.30 Units / 34% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1H Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+1.15 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.95 Units / 15% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 24-27 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -7.51% ROI).
- 28-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -4.36% ROI
- 29-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 10.05% ROI
- 21-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.65 Units / -18.98% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 26-24 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.59% ROI).
- 21-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.6 Units / -20.9% ROI
- 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -1.88% ROI
- 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -5.22% ROI
Logan Webb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (109/184) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .531 (17-for-32) against Logan Webb when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — first Percentile.
Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of just 3% (1 SO in 35 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (138/215) against Logan Webb in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Pablo López: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has induced opposing hitters to ground into 6 double plays in 20 opportunities (30%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .148 (4-for-27) against Pablo Lopez on low fastballs this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .276 — 92nd Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has located his breaking pitches down 92% of the time (34/37) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .146 (13-for-89) against Pablo Lopez’s non-fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 94th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are 10-0 (1.000) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .680.
The Giants are 14-3 (.824) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Giants are 22-1 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .931.
The Giants are 18-88 (.170) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .083.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .069.
The Marlins are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Marlins are just 1-22 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Marlins are just 10-16 (.385) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Giants hitters are slugging .531 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Giants hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants hitters have an OPS of 1.272 (402 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.059.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 606 strikeouts in 2,176 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,176 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .324 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Marlins hitters have 140 strikeouts in 480 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants pitchers have walked 119 of 1,915 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have picked-off 7 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Marlins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D15
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Brian Anderson (Marlins): Back, D10
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
- Austin Slater (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Alexander Cobb (Giants): Back, Day-to-Day
- Steven Duggar (Giants): Oblique, D60
- LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Left Knee, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
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