Giants vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 04, 2022, 2:00 PM
  • The Giants (28-23) are -110 favorites vs the Marlins (21-29)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb (5-1), 3.52 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Pablo López (4-2), 1.83 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSFL

The San Francisco Giants (-110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-110) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Giants vs Marlins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 28-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 26-24 ATS.

Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +155O 7 -120-110
Marlins +1.5 -190U 7 +100-110

Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 78.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Evan Longoria has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jorge Soler has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Brian Anderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+6.15 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.45 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1H Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1H Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+1.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.95 Units / 15% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 24-27 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -7.51% ROI).

  • 28-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -4.36% ROI
  • 29-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 10.05% ROI
  • 21-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.65 Units / -18.98% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 26-24 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.59% ROI).

  • 21-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.6 Units / -20.9% ROI
  • 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -1.88% ROI
  • 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -5.22% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (109/184) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .531 (17-for-32) against Logan Webb when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — first Percentile.

Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of just 3% (1 SO in 35 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (138/215) against Logan Webb in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Pablo López: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Pablo Lopez has induced opposing hitters to ground into 6 double plays in 20 opportunities (30%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .148 (4-for-27) against Pablo Lopez on low fastballs this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .276 — 92nd Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has located his breaking pitches down 92% of the time (34/37) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .146 (13-for-89) against Pablo Lopez’s non-fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 94th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Giants are 10-0 (1.000) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .680.

The Giants are 14-3 (.824) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Giants are 22-1 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .931.

The Giants are 18-88 (.170) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .083.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Marlins are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .069.

The Marlins are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Marlins are just 1-22 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.

The Marlins are just 10-16 (.385) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.

 

Giants hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Giants hitters are slugging .531 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .450.

Giants hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Giants hitters have an OPS of 1.272 (402 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.059.

Marlins hitters have 606 strikeouts in 2,176 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,176 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .324 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.

Marlins hitters have 140 strikeouts in 480 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Giants pitchers have walked 119 of 1,915 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins pitchers have picked-off 7 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Marlins pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Marlins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D15
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Brian Anderson (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Austin Slater (Giants): Wrist, D10
  • Luis González (Giants): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Alexander Cobb (Giants): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Steven Duggar (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Left Knee, D10
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.