Giants vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 05, 2022, 10:12 AM
  • The Giants (28-24) are -125 favorites vs the Marlins (22-29)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Jakob Junis (2-1), 2.67 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett (0-0), 0.00 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSFL

The San Francisco Giants (-125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+105) on Sunday, June 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Giants vs Marlins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 28-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 27-24 ATS.

Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +125O 8 -105-125
Marlins +1.5 -155U 8 -115+105

Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 78.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.30 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.95 Units / 99% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+6.60 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.45 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jorge Soler has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.30 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1H Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1H Run Line in 28 of their last 52 games (+2.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1H Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 24-28 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -8.98% ROI).

  • 28-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -5.75% ROI
  • 30-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.75 Units / 11.7% ROI
  • 21-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.9 Units / -20.75% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 27-24 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 2.02% ROI).

  • 22-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -18.89% ROI
  • 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -7.33% ROI

Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 55% of the time (284/521) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total SL; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has thrown off-speed pitches 70% of the time (363/521) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total NonFB; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has allowed a BABIP of .200 vs left-handed batters this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .274 — 91st Percentile.

Jakob Junis has recorded 25 of his 27 strikeouts (93%) with his slider this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Braxton Garrett: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 28% of the time (56/203) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has allowed a slugging percentage of .506 (43 Total Bases / 85 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .296 — 0 Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.053 (20 Total Bases / 19 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .566 — third Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has allowed a slugging percentage of .792 (61 Total Bases / 77 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .534 — second Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

No Matchup notes for this Game

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

No Matchup notes for this Game

Giants hitters have an OPS of 1.274 (407 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.059.

Giants hitters are slugging .437 against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

Giants hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Giants hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.

Marlins hitters have 607 strikeouts in 2,179 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,179 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .643 (2,179 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .600 (483 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Giants pitchers have walked 561 of 7,973 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Giants pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Marlins pitchers have picked-off 7 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Marlins pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Marlins pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 443 times this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.

Marlins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D15
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Brian Anderson (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Luis González (Giants): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Alexander Cobb (Giants): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Steven Duggar (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Left Knee, D10
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.