- The Giants are -170 favorites vs the Marlins
- Giants vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Giants / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | NSBA | WBFS | MLBN
The San Francisco Giants (-170) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+140) on Friday, May 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Giants are 31-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 29-25 ATS.
Giants vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 0-1, 3.86 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 3-4, 6.05 ERA
Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 -102 | O 8.5 -110 | -170 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -118 | U 8.5 -110 | +140 |
Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+14.45 Units / 206% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.10 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+13.50 Units / 169% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+8.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+7.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.15 Units / 31% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 71% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+6.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 away games (+1.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 54 games (+0.35 Units / 0% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+5.50 Units / 41% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 25-31 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -6.48% ROI).
- 31-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.39% ROI
- 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -5.69% ROI
- 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -3.59% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 29-25 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 2.24% ROI).
- 22-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -2.66% ROI
- 32-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.25 Units / 12.05% ROI
- 22-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -13 Units / -22.17% ROI
Marlins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Marlins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Marlins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Marlins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill (MIA) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +135 |
| Kyle Harrison (SF) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (192/860) against Kyle Harrison since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has an average spin rate of 1993.6 RPM on curveballs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 2540.9 — fifth Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has allowed an OBP of just .125 (16 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (5 games) — 6th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .319 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .289 (58-for-201) against Kyle Harrison’s non-fastballs since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .223 — second Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .324 (651 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OPS of 1.035 (91 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .689 — 0 Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .337 (100-for-297) against Cal Quantrill since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .243 — third Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OPS of .693 (651 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .507 — 0 Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are 85-6 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Giants are 4-21 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Giants are 18-2 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .813.
The Giants are just 54-55 (.495) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Marlins (27th best runs scored) today.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins are just 58-14 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins are just 52-17 (.754) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have struck out in 25% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
The Giants are just 43-66 (.394) against the run line (-24.7% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Marlins (27th best runs scored) today.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters had 149 extra-base hits out of 547 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.25 (1009.1 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.94.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins have allowed 5.96 runs per game (155/26) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
More MLB Reading:
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