- The Mets are -130 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson
- Watch the game on ESPN
The San Francisco Giants (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-130) on Sunday, July 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Giants vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 46-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 32-51 ATS.
Giants vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -110 | +110 |
| Mets | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -110 | -130 |
Giants vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 52.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+12.35 Units / 82% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+13.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Mets vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bryce Johnson | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Mets vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Bryce Johnson | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Starling Marte | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Mets vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryce Johnson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Mets vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peterson | 4.5 -175 | 4.5 +130 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 64 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+7.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 69 games (+5.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+11.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+7.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 44-39 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 2.92% ROI).
- 46-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 3.2% ROI
- 38-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -9.04% ROI
- 42-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 0.83% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 32-51 against the Run Line (-25.45 Units / -24.15% ROI).
- 37-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.15 Units / -23.06% ROI
- 35-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.65 Units / -16.03% ROI
- 45-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 7.01% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (65/215) against Ross Stripling since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .306 (45-for-147) against Ross Stripling this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .251 — seventh Percentile.
Ross Stripling has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (327/845) with two-strikes since last season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 94th Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of .346 (119 Total Bases / 344 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .266 — fourth Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 39% (188/483) against David Peterson on changeups since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (279/524) of opposing batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has allowed a BABIP of .395 this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .296 — first Percentile.
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (57/112) of right-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Giants are 30-24 (.556) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Giants are 10-27 (.270) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Giants are 105-2 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Giants are 37-53 (.411) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Mets are 122-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Mets are just 12-15 (.444) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .687.
The Mets are just 24-15 (.615) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Mets are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 32 strikeouts in 75 PA’s (43%) against LHP over the last 14 days (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants hitters have 4 strikeouts in 8 PA’s (50%) against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Giants are batting .308 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters have 710 strikeouts in 2,789 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 1,302 strikeouts in 6,494 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets are batting .259 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Mets have scored first in 62% of their home games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Mets have been successful on 67% of their hit & run attempts since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 142 of 2,181 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 60 of 493 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strike rate of just 62% this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets pitchers have walked 67 of 723 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Scott Alexander (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Back, Day-to-Day
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
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