- The Giants are -135 favorites vs the Mets
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Mets starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
- Watch the game on SNY
The San Francisco Giants (-135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+115) on Friday, June 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Giants vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 45-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 30-51 ATS.
Giants vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +125 | O 9 -120 | -135 |
| Mets | +1.5 -150 | U 9 +100 | +115 |
Giants vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 57.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Giants vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+11.75 Units / 90% ROI)
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 59% ROI)
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.35 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Mets vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Mets vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Mets vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Alex Cobb | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 62 games (+13.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 71 games (+8.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 away games (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+10.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+5.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 44-37 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 5.37% ROI).
- 45-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 3.28% ROI
- 38-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -7.93% ROI
- 41-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.28% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 30-51 against the Run Line (-27.8 Units / -26.99% ROI).
- 36-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.15 Units / -23.56% ROI
- 35-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.45 Units / -15.09% ROI
- 44-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 6.06% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 34% (26/77) versus Justin Steele with runners in scoring position in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .255 (41-for-161) against Alex Cobb with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .164 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted just .137 (23-for-168) against Justin Steele’s curve and slider in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 99th Percentile.
Justin Steele threw fastballs 71% of the time (364/512) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 99th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.074 (29 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .937 (118 Total Bases / 126 ABs) when behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: .595 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .492 (62-for-126) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: .339 — second Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of 1.534 (159 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 1.058 — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Giants are 18-9 (.667) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Giants are 30-23 (.566) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Giants are 7-31 (.184) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .107.
The Giants are 104-2 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Mets are 121-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Mets are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.
The Mets are just 11-15 (.423) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
The Mets are just 24-15 (.615) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Giants are batting .311 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .362 (389 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Giants hitters have 20 strikeouts in 44 PA’s (46%) against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have scored first in 62% of their home games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mets hitters have just 1,287 strikeouts in 6,413 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets have won just 50% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .331 (6,413 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 222 of 3,026 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strike rate of just 62% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Alexander Cobb (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Scott Alexander (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
Bet now on Giants vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
