• The Mets are -190 favorites vs the Giants
• Giants vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Giants / Mets TV Channel: NSBA | WPIX

The San Francisco Giants (+155) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-190) on September 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Giants are against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are ATS.

Giants vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Giants starting pitcher: Matthew Wilkinson 0-2, 4.63 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 10-8, 3.08 ERA

Giants vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Giants vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jonah Cox has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+26.00 Units / 325% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 63% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 54% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.65 Units / 58% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Mark Vientos has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+13.35 Units / 134% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• A.J. Ewing has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 35% ROI)
• Nolan McLean has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 47% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.10 Units / 48% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+9.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.80 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 50 away games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 35% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+13.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.80 Units / 44% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+10.65 Units / 41% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+8.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+7.00 Units / 18% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Giants are just 1-65 (.015) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants are just 1-61 (.016) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants are just 25-47 (.347) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Giants are just 48-15 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Mets are just 50-33 (.602) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 42-5 (.894) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB.

The Mets are 16-1 (.941) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Giants Hitting Stats & Trends

Giants hitters have an OPS of just .663 (1,518 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,518 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

29% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .306 (2,615 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .694 (5,247 PA’s) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .306 (3,741 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .306 (5,247 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Mets have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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