- The Giants are -155 favorites vs the Nationals
- Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jacob Irvin
- Watch the game on MASN2
The San Francisco Giants (-155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+130) on Friday, July 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Giants vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 54-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 52-44 ATS.
Giants vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +100 | O 9.5 -105 | -155 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -120 | U 9.5 -115 | +130 |
Giants vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 72.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 18 away games (+18.60 Units / 70% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+14.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.35 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+15.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+14.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+11.80 Units / 24% ROI)
Nationals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Nationals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Nationals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Nationals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin | 4.5 +135 | 4.5 -175 |
| Alex Wood | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 away games (+15.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 83 games (+9.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 78 games (+8.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 78 games (+7.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 90 games (+5.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 50-47 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 0.72% ROI).
- 54-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 3.06% ROI
- 43-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -12.44% ROI
- 51-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 4% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 52-44 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 1.05% ROI).
- 38-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 2.72% ROI
- 47-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.5% ROI
- 44-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -6.63% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 34% (26/77) versus Justin Steele with runners in scoring position in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Justin Steele threw fastballs 71% of the time (364/512) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 99th Percentile.
Justin Steele threw fastballs 65% of the time (1,023/1,580) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 97th Percentile.
44% of Justin Steele’s called strikeouts were elevated in 2022 — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 95th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (67/470) against Jake Irvin this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 20% (54/275) against Jake Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (16/110) against Jake Irvin this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to June 27th — the longest active streak is 5.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Giants are 46-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are 11-31 (.262) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Giants are 111-2 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Giants are 39-24 (.619) after a road win since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Nationals are just 15-32 (.319) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Nationals are just 30-142 (.174) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Nationals are just 31-61 (.337) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Nationals are just 10-21 (.323) after a home loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have just 22 strikeouts in 162 PA’s (14%) against LHP over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Giants are batting just .182 against LHP over the last 30 days (17 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Giants are batting .290 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 32% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 32% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have drawn 147 walks in 2,417 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Nationals hitters have just 456 strikeouts in 2,417 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 259 of 3,643 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals have allowed 1.80 runs per game (173/96) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.35.
The Nationals have won just 19% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Paolo Espino (Nationals): Finger, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Davis (Giants): Illness, Day-to-Day
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Knee, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
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