- The Giants are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
- Watch the game on MASN2
The San Francisco Giants (-190) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+155) on Saturday, July 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Giants vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 54-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 53-44 ATS.
Giants vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 -115 | O 9 -120 | -190 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -105 | U 9 +100 | +155 |
Giants vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 78.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+17.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+16.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+15.30 Units / 81% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.35 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+16.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+15.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+12.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Nationals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Nationals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Nationals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josiah Gray | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Logan Webb | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 away games (+13.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 84 games (+10.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 79 games (+7.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 79 games (+8.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 91 games (+6.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 50-48 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.16% ROI).
- 54-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 1.83% ROI
- 43-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.5 Units / -13.36% ROI
- 52-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.25 Units / 4.9% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 53-44 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.88% ROI).
- 39-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 4.01% ROI
- 47-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -2.56% ROI
- 45-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -5.62% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (223/365) against Logan Webb this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (112/181) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (111/184) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 46% of the time (185/406) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .383 (18-for-47) against Josiah Gray on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — fourth Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .634 (208 Total Bases / 328 ABs) on fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: .431 — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strikeout rate of just 38% (94 SO in 246 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 16th Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% (268/466) this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — seventh Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Giants are 11-32 (.256) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Giants are 30-24 (.556) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Giants are 111-2 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Giants are 8-38 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Nationals are just 42-87 (.326) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals are just 1-151 (.007) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Nationals are just 16-32 (.333) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Nationals are just 29-58 (.333) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 739 strikeouts in 2,997 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Giants hitters have 73 extra-base hits out of 238 total hits (just 31%) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Giants are batting just .246 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 33% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have just 688 strikeouts in 3,645 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have drawn 147 walks in 2,431 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Nationals hitters have just 459 strikeouts in 2,431 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 261 of 3,676 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Paolo Espino (Nationals): Finger, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Knee, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
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