- The Giants are -120 favorites vs the Nationals
- Giants starting pitcher: Scott Alexander
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
- Watch the game on MASN2
The San Francisco Giants (-120) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+100) on Sunday, July 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Giants vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 54-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 54-44 ATS.
Giants vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -105 | -120 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -160 | U 9 -115 | +100 |
Giants vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+16.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+15.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+14.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.25 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+16.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+14.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+13.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.45 Units / 36% ROI)
Nationals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Nationals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| C.J. Abrams | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Gore | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 52 games (+14.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 away games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 85 games (+9.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 80 games (+6.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 80 games (+10.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 92 games (+7.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.10 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 50-49 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -1.1% ROI).
- 54-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.23% ROI
- 44-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.5 Units / -12.31% ROI
- 52-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 3.93% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 54-44 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 2.69% ROI).
- 40-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 5.68% ROI
- 48-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.61% ROI
- 45-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -6.5% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony DeSclafani has thrown his slider 48% of the time (191/396) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total SL; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has thrown his slider 47% of the time (497/1,062) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total SL; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 22 of 490 batters (4%) since last season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has thrown his slider 45% of the time (593/1,312) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total SL; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has an average spin rate of 1974.0 RPM on sliders since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 2400.2 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (130/455) against MacKenzie Gore since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last six games dating back to June 15th — Freddy Peralta has the longest active streak at 8.
MacKenzie Gore has walked 23 of 212 batters (11%) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Giants are 111-2 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Giants are 39-24 (.619) after a road win since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Giants are 18-8 (.692) after a road win this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Giants are 18-10 (.643) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Nationals are just 1-151 (.007) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Nationals are just 17-32 (.347) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Nationals are just 29-58 (.333) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 673 strikeouts in 2,705 PA’s (25%) against RHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting .364 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .306 (1,068 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Giants are batting just .137 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 33% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have just 462 strikeouts in 2,444 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .937 (706 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.110.
The Nationals are batting .281 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 704 of 9,786 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Nationals have allowed 1.77 runs per game (173/98) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.35.
Nationals vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Paolo Espino (Nationals): Finger, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Knee, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
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