Giants vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 10

Baltimore Orioles' Ryan Mountcastle during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
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  • The Orioles are -125 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Giants / Orioles TV Channel: ATV

The San Francisco Giants (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-125) on April 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Giants are 5-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 4-8 ATS.

Giants vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Landen Roupp 1-1, 4.22 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-0, 3.49 ERA

Giants vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Giants vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+9.40 Units / 157% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+13.20 Units / 147% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Shane Baz has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 50 away games (+4.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 24 games at home (+14.55 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+2.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+0.15 Units / 0% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 4-8 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -43.12% ROI).

  • 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -21.45% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -2.77% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -2.47% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 4-8 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -34.75% ROI).

  • 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -8.01% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -5.66% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -5.32% ROI

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Giants are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .030.

The Giants are just 5-8 (.385) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Giants were just 65-6 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Giants were 11-65 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Orioles were just 63-10 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles are just 1-82 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.

The Giants batted just .214 against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

41% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .631 (1,623 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants are batting .291 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging .591 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .362 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Orioles batted just .156 with two-strikes in the 2025 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.