Giants vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 1

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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  • The Padres are -140 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Giants / Padres TV Channel: NSBA | PDTV | KFMB

The San Francisco Giants (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-140) on August 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Giants are 47-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 58-49 ATS.

Giants vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 3-9, 5.00 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 6-5, 5.19 ERA

Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -170O 8.5 -118+115
Padres -1.5 +140U 8.5 -102-140

Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Daniel Susac has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+16.50 Units / 412% ROI)
  • Tyler Mahle has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.35 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Daniel Susac has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Daniel Susac has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+5.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Tyler Mahle has hit the Strikeouts Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 64% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+13.20 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 51-56 against the Run Line (-17.45 Units / -11.65% ROI).

  • 47-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -11.11% ROI
  • 50-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -3.44% ROI
  • 49-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -4.78% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 58-49 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 1.86% ROI).

  • 55-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -1.63% ROI
  • 49-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.75 Units / -12.25% ROI
  • 58-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 3.76% ROI

Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Manny Machado +300
Rafael Devers +310
Willy Adames +360
Jackson Merrill +390
Fernando Tatis Jr. +400

Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Manny Machado 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ty France 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Jung Hoo Lee 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Heliot Ramos 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Jackson Merrill 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Merrill 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Christian Koss 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Manny Machado 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -150 0.5 +110

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Giants are just 1-46 (.021) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants are just 8-16 (.333) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Padres (25th in runs scored).

The Giants are just 1-51 (.019) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants are just 37-11 (.771) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Padres are 24-14 (.632) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Giants (20th runs allowed).

The Padres are 41-1 (.976) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 45-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Padres are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Giants are batting .258 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Giants hitters are slugging .426 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Giants have scored 50 runs in close and late situations this season — fewest in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting .382 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .353 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have grounded into 85 double plays in 709 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.

The Padres have answered-back in 38% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have won only 19% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .266 against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% in close and late situations this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.