Giants vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 10

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 10, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Padres (62-51) are -160 favorites vs the Giants (54-56)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Jakob Junis (4-3), 3.04 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Sean Manaea (6-6), 4.73 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSD

The San Francisco Giants (+135) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-160) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 54-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 52-61 ATS.

Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -145O 9 -105+135
Padres -1.5 +120U 9 -115-160

Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 57.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 26 away games (+9.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+9.20 Units / 184% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+13.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+12.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 40 games (+12.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)

Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Brandon Drury 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Josh Bell 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Brandon Drury 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Josh Bell 0.5 -275 0.5 +185

Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Brandon Drury 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Josh Bell 0.5 +115 0.5 -165

Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sean Manaea 5.5 -105 5.5 -130
Jake Junis 3.5 +110 3.5 -155
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 102 games (+9.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 91 games (+3.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 48 of their last 88 games (+12.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 50-60 against the Run Line (-16.1 Units / -11.79% ROI).

  • 54-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.3 Units / -12.57% ROI
  • 53-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -1.67% ROI
  • 50-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -7.53% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 52-61 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -8.06% ROI).

  • 62-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -1.84% ROI
  • 53-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -7.37% ROI
  • 57-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -1.47% ROI

Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 53% of the time (512/958) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has thrown off-speed pitches 69% of the time (666/958) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to July 25th — Max Fried has the longest active streak at 10.

Jakob Junis has recorded 42 of his 53 strikeouts (79%) with breaking balls this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.

Sean Manaea: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of .628 (27 Total Bases / 43 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .410 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .120 (26-for-217) against Sean Manaea with two-strikes this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .159 — 93rd Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 31 of 362 right-handed batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fifth Percentile.

Sean Manaea has allowed an OBP of .325 (360 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 17th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Giants are 43-2 (.956) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Giants are just 6-9 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 28-7 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Padres are 30-27 (.526) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Padres are 21-8 (.724) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Padres are 9-6 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are just 51-6 (.895) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Giants are batting just .213 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Giants hitters have an OBP of .323 (7,352 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Giants hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Padres are batting just .138 on the road over the last 14 days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Padres hitters are slugging just .163 on the road over the last 14 days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.

Padres hitters are slugging just .374 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Padres hitters are slugging just .163 on the road this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 716 of 10,124 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.7

The Padres have won 44% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Padres pitchers have walked 60 of 1,012 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .180 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.

Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alfaro (Padres): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Joseph Bart (Giants): Ankle, Day-to-Day
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.