Giants vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 09, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Padres (61-51) are -175 favorites vs the Giants (54-55)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (3-6), 4.07 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Joseph Musgrove (8-5), 3.00 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSD

The San Francisco Giants (+145) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-175) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 54-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 51-61 ATS.

Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -140O 7.5 -120+145
Padres -1.5 +115U 7.5 +100-175

Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Evan Longoria has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+9.20 Units / 184% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+13.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 46 games at home (+11.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)

Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Brandon Drury 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +825 0.5 -3000
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Josh Bell 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Brandon Drury 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Josh Bell 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Brandon Drury 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Josh Bell 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joe Musgrove 6.5 +100 6.5 -145
Alex Cobb 4.5 +120 4.5 -165
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 101 games (+10.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 57 games (+3.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 away games (+2.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 47 of their last 87 games (+11.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games at home (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 50-59 against the Run Line (-14.7 Units / -10.88% ROI).

  • 54-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.3 Units / -12.02% ROI
  • 52-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -2.52% ROI
  • 50-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -6.62% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 51-61 against the Run Line (-12.4 Units / -8.99% ROI).

  • 61-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -2.49% ROI
  • 52-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -8.25% ROI
  • 57-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.52% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (159/253) against Alex Cobb this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (100/160) against Alex Cobb in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (299/512) against Alex Cobb since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 72% (18/25) against Alex Cobb — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Joseph Musgrove: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .128 (19 GB hits out of 148 GBs) against Joe Musgrove this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .179 (7-for-39) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .335 — 98th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has walked 9 of 226 right-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 90th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 29% (97/336) against Joe Musgrove this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 85th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Giants are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are just 6-9 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 5-43 (.104) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Giants are 21-112 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Padres are 30-27 (.526) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Padres are 51-15 (.773) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Padres are just 2-39 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Padres are 21-8 (.724) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

The Giants are batting just .215 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Giants are batting just .128 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.

The Giants are batting .371 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Giants are batting just .137 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.

Padres hitters are slugging just .176 on the road over the last 14 days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Padres hitters are slugging .232 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.7

Padres pitchers have walked 22 of 512 batters (4%) over the last 14 days (14 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .180 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.

Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.