- The Padres (49-37) are -120 favorites vs the Giants (42-41)
- Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood (5-7), 4.82 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore (4-3), 3.18 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants (+100) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-120) on Sunday, July 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 42-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 43-43 ATS.
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -115 | +100 |
| Padres | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -105 | -120 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s matchup with 62.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+7.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+3.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+3.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Luke Voit has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Luke Voit has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Azocar | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jose Azocar | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Azocar | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Wood | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +100 |
| Mackenzie Gore | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 75 games (+10.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 61 games (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+7.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 85 games (+5.05 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 85 games (+0.75 Units / 1% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 40-43 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -5.48% ROI).
- 42-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -12.61% ROI
- 40-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -2.3% ROI
- 38-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -7% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 43-43 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.23% ROI).
- 49-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 3.1% ROI
- 38-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -12.85% ROI
- 46-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 4.12% ROI
Robert Wood: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (85/248) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (208/646) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 31% of the time (221/711) when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (234/692) against Alex Wood on inside fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has allowed a slugging percentage of just .115 (7 Total Bases / 61 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .373 — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has walked 8 of 52 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .098 (6-for-61) against MacKenzie Gore’s elevated fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has allowed at least 3 walks in each of his last six games — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 19-101 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Giants are just 3-30 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .111.
The Giants are 29-5 (.853) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Giants are 20-6 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are 26-18 (.591) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Padres are just 36-6 (.857) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.
The Padres are 41-11 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Padres are just 39-5 (.886) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .206 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Giants are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
Giants hitters have drawn 659 walks in 6,775 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters are slugging just .341 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters have drawn 626 walks in 6,718 PA’s (9%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,315 of their 3,961 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 636 of 9,113 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants pitchers have walked 133 of 2,201 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.7
The Padres have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .184 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Padres pitchers have walked 45 of 776 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
- Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Jurickson Profar (Padres): Concussion, D7
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D15
- Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, Day-to-Day
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