Giants vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 31

San Diego Padres' Jake Cronenworth during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Wednesday, June 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
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  • The Padres are -155 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Giants / Padres TV Channel: ATV

The San Francisco Giants (+125) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-155) on July 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Giants are against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are ATS.

Giants vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Carson Whisenhunt 2-1, 4.70 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Bradgley Rodriguez 2-2, 2.28 ERA

Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -170O 8.5 -105+125
Padres -1.5 +140U 8.5 -115-155

Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Daniel Susac has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+16.50 Units / 412% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.80 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+15.50 Units / 155% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+7.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+3.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.15 Units / 19% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Rafael Devers +280
Manny Machado +300
Willy Adames +325
Ty France +425
Heliot Ramos +425

Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jung Hoo Lee 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ty France 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Manny Machado 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -235 0.5 +170

Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Heliot Ramos 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Rafael Devers 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Drew Cavanaugh 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jackson Merrill 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Giants are just 1-45 (.022) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.

The Giants are just 1-50 (.020) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Giants are just 8-15 (.348) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Padres (24th in runs scored).

The Giants are just 14-56 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Padres are 44-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Padres are 40-1 (.976) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .901.

The Padres are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 44-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Giants are batting .258 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants are just 1-45 (.022) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .306 (1,087 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting .378 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .350 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .656 (1,944 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have grounded into 83 double plays in 695 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Giants have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games at home this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 573 times this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 207 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.